Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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155
FNUS72 KTBW 011300
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for ci13 burn...Fl Forest Service
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
900 AM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Deep moisture remains over the area, with no humidity concerns.
Scattered to numerous showers and storms are expected today, mainly
in the afternoon and early evening, then another round on Wednesday
starting in the early morning and continuing through the afternoon
and early evening. Spotty high dispersion indices are expected both
afternoons.

Fog potential...No significant fog is expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....20 increasing to 36 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 54 late in the morning increasing
                    to 59 late in the afternoon decreasing to 49.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........26     32     41     69     70
Weather cov.....       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).10     30     30     50     50
Temp............78     86     90     88     85
RH..............84     65     54     58     66
20 ft wind......S 5    S 7    S 9    SW 10  SW 10
20 ft wind gust.8      12     15     17     16
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   3500   4500   4500   3100
Transport wind..S 9    S 12   S 12   SW 14  SW 13
Dispersion idx..20     50     60     60     49
LVORI...........4      2      1      1      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....36 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........66     56     41     51     47     51
Weather cov.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).50     30     30     30     30     30
Temp............83     80     76     75     74     73
RH..............70     79     87     92     94     95
20 ft wind......SW 10  SW 6   SW 3   S 3    S 2    S 3
20 ft wind gust.15     12     9      7      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....2700   1200   400    400    400    400
Transport wind..SW 13  SW 13  SW 9   S 7    S 7    S 8
Dispersion idx..36     9      3      3      3      3
LVORI...........3      4      6      6      6      6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered showers
                    early in the morning. Scattered thunderstorms
                    through the day. Numerous showers early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 27 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 46 late in the morning increasing
                    to 59 late in the morning decreasing to 48
                    decreasing to 40 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........50     41     38     65     77     78
Weather cov.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).30     70     70     70     70     70
Temp............73     75     83     85     86     84
RH..............97     92     74     71     68     73
20 ft wind......S 5    S 6    S 8    SW 10  SW 12  SW 12
20 ft wind gust.8      9      13     16     18     18
Mix hgt (ft)....400    900    2900   2900   3000   2700
Transport wind..S 10   S 10   S 16   S 17   SW 18  SW 18
Dispersion idx..4      11     46     61     50     45
LVORI...........8      5      3      2      1      3

$$
Forecaster...RDavis
Requested by...Cody Sikes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2517033.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Cody.Sikes@fdacs.gov