996
FNUS72 KTBW 072248
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for GATOR CREEK SOUTH...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
648 PM EDT Thu Aug 7 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on August 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The warm and humid summertime conditions will continue, with light
winds and scattered to numerous afternoon in to evening showers and
thunderstorms each day, generally moving from east to west through
the day.

Fog potential...No significant fog is expected.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Widespread
                    showers and scattered thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph becoming light. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 8 mph decreasing to 5 to 7 mph late
                    in the evening.
Dispersion index....18 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........63  68  71  68  66  73  67  52  48  41  41  37
Weather cov.....WID NUM SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).80  70  50  40  30  20  20  10  10  10  0   0
Temp............87  84  82  80  79  77  77  76  76  76  75  75
RH..............72  79  81  86  88  91  91  94  94  97  96  97
20 FT wind dir..E   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  N   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.12  10  9   8   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   7   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..22  13  6   3   2   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   8   9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph early in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 32.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........33  27  21  21  19  33  37  47  43  44  52  58
Weather cov.....                    ISO SCT SCT SCT NUM NUM WID
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  20  30  40  50  60  70  80
Temp............74  74  77  81  84  87  88  89  89  90  89  87
RH..............98  99  96  88  79  73  70  66  66  65  67  70
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   7   9   10  12  10  13  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.4 2.4 3.2 3.8 3.9 3.9 4.3 3.1 2.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  E   E
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   9   8
Dispersion idx..2   3   6   13  21  29  33  34  35  34  33  29
LVORI...........10  9   7   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...RDavis
Requested by...Noreika
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519517.0/TBW
.DELDT 08/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL DANIEL.LACY@FDACS.GOV