Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
331
FNUS72 KTBW 040625
FWSTBW
Spot Forecast for Prairie track...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
225 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on August 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
With increasing moisture, better aerial coverage of thunderstorms is
anticipated today. This will continue to increase through the week
as the flow remains light. Due to light flow and weak high
pressure, dispersions are favored to be lower as well for this
burn site. With ample moisture, there are no fire weather concerns
at this time.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Scattered showers and
thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Numerous
showers and thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon, then shifting to the southeast late
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 27 late in the morning, then
increasing to 33 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 19 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8 10 14 21 27 35 38 41 39
Weather cov..... SCT SCT SCT NUM
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCT SCT SCT NUM
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 30 50 50 60
Temp............83 86 89 91 92 92 93 92 91
RH..............81 73 67 63 59 57 56 58 60
20 FT wind dir..S S SW SW S S S S SE
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.5 6 8 9 9 10 12 10 12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 2.3 3.3 3.8 4.2 5.0 4.8 4.2 2.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.5 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 5
Dispersion idx..11 17 24 30 34 35 31 23 15
LVORI...........4 3 2 2 1 1 1 2 2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Numerous showers
and thunderstorms early in the evening, then
scattered showers and thunderstorms early in
the evening. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the west
early in the evening, then shifting to the east
6 to 8 mph early in the evening shifting to the
south overnight.
Dispersion index....6.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........45 50 56 55 55 52 43 38 33 15 8 12
Weather cov.....NUM NUM SCT SCT SCT ISO
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........NUM NUM SCT SCT SCT ISO
Chc of pcpn (%).70 70 30 30 30 20 10 10 0 0 0 0
Temp............88 85 81 79 77 77 76 76 75 75 75 75
RH..............65 71 82 89 94 95 95 96 99 98 99 99
20 FT wind dir..S W SE SE NE E E SE SE S S S
20 FT wind spd..5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.12 10 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW W E E E SE E E SE S S S
Transp wind spd.5 5 6 8 7 8 8 7 7 8 7 6
Dispersion idx..10 5 3 2 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 4 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Numerous showers and
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest
around 3 mph early in the afternoon, then
shifting to the east around 5 mph late in the
afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 26.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3 3 5 1 4 7 13 19 25 31 38 44
Weather cov..... NUM NUM NUM NUM
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ NUM NUM NUM NUM
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 70 70 70 70
Temp............74 74 77 83 87 89 91 92 93 93 92 91
RH..............100 100 95 81 72 67 62 59 58 57 58 60
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S SE E
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.3 2.2 3.1 3.9 4.7 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0
Transp wind dir.S S S S S SW SW SW SW S SE E
Transp wind spd.7 7 6 7 7 6 5 3 3 3 5 5
Dispersion idx..3 4 6 11 16 21 23 23 23 25 26 25
LVORI...........9 8 6 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
$$
Forecaster...Flannery
Requested by...John hayes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2519180.0/TBW
.DELDT 08/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL john.hayes@fdacs.gov