Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FNUS72 KTBW 072034
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Spot Forecast for Fire Under the Pines...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
334 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on November 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
No fire weather hazards are expected through the weekend as
sufficient moisture will keep minimum afternoon relative humidity
values well above critical levels. Some patchy fog will be
possible early Saturday morning. Fire weather hazards will likely
increase early next week behind a cold front as much drier air
will advect over the region on gusty north to northwest winds.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon, then shifting
                    to the west around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 9 mph shifting to the west 9 to
                    12 mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 23 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 33 late in the morning increasing
                    to 46 early in the afternoon decreasing to 36
                    decreasing to 25 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........25     24     37     33     21
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     10     0
Temp............66     78     83     86     83
RH..............98     80     68     63     69
20 ft wind......S 1    SW 5   SW 7   W 8    W 9
20 ft wind gust.3      7      10     12     10
Mix hgt (ft)....400    2000   3300   3700   3000
Transport wind..S 5    SW 9   W 12   W 12   W 10
Dispersion idx..9      23     43     49     36
LVORI...........7      3      2      1      2

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....8 decreasing to 2 early in the evening.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........12     10     12     19     27     37
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............76     72     69     68     67     67
RH..............85     96     100    100    100    100
20 ft wind......W 6    W 3    SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2
20 ft wind gust.7      5      3      3      3      3
Mix hgt (ft)....500    400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..W 8    W 7    SW 7   SW 6   SW 6   SW 7
Dispersion idx..12     1      3      3      3      3
LVORI...........4      8      10     9      9      9

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph
                    early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 18 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 34 late in the morning increasing
                    to 45 early in the afternoon increasing to 54
                    decreasing to 41 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........39     41     41     43     41     33
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      20     20     20     20     20
Temp............66     70     79     83     84     81
RH..............100    96     82     72     67     72
20 ft wind......S 3    SW 5   SW 6   W 9    W 10   W 10
20 ft wind gust.       6      9      14     16     16
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1100   2300   3300   3800   3600
Transport wind..SW 7   SW 8   SW 10  SW 12  SW 14  W 15
Dispersion idx..4      14     30     43     53     52
LVORI...........9      6      3      2      1      2

$$
Forecaster...Wynn
Requested by...Jessica Clark
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525373.0/TBW
.DELDT 11/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jessica.Clark@fdacs.gov