002
FNUS72 KTBW 221058
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for DPC2025S1...SWFWMD
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
658 AM EDT Fri Aug 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on August 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A west to southwest flow will continue through the weekend with
deep moisture spreading across the area, leading to scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms. Relative humidity values will
remain well above critical thresholds and winds will remain less
than 15 mph, except gusty and erratic near thunderstorms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....33 increasing to 42 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........57     54     49     53
Weather cov.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).50     40     50     40
Temp............87     89     90     90
RH..............71     67     64     64
20 ft wind......SW 7   SW 9   W 10   W 10
20 ft wind gust.12     13     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   3100   3000   3400
Transport wind..SW 9   W 9    W 10   W 10
Dispersion idx..30     35     40     42
LVORI...........3      3      2      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 79.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....31 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........51     50     53     46     43     33
Weather cov.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).30     20     20     30     20     20
Temp............88     86     83     82     81     80
RH..............67     70     76     80     83     83
20 ft wind......W 9    W 6    SW 5   S 3    SW 3   SW 3
20 ft wind gust.14     10     9      9      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....2800   800    400    400    500    400
Transport wind..W 9    W 7    SW 6   SW 5   SW 6   SW 6
Dispersion idx..31     5      1      2      2      2
LVORI...........3      3      4      5      5      5

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Scattered showers
                    early in the morning. Scattered thunderstorms
                    through the day. Numerous showers early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 12 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 35.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........40     40     47     53     59     64
Weather cov.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).30     60     60     60     60     60
Temp............79     81     88     90     89     89
RH..............85     85     70     64     64     65
20 ft wind......SW 3   SW 3   SW 6   W 8    W 10   W 12
20 ft wind gust.8      8      10     13     15     17
Mix hgt (ft)....400    500    1900   3200   2600   2300
Transport wind..SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   W 9    W 10   W 13
Dispersion idx..2      5      24     34     33     36
LVORI...........5      5      3      2      1      2

$$
Forecaster...Hubbard
Requested by...LRB
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520437.0/TBW
.DELDT 08/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL danny.harris@swfwmd.state.fl.us