069
FNUS72 KTBW 191216
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for HC Rx LGS-27...HC ELM
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
816 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on September 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Isolated to scattered showers are forecast today. Chances for precipitation
peak early this afternoon around 2-3 pm. Winds will be light and generally
from the northwest.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon, then isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2 until 1400, then 3 until
                    1700, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 36.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........20     13     23     33     25
Weather cov.....              ISOLTD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              ISOLTD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     20     30     20
LAL.............1      1      2      3      2
Temp............77     85     89     90     88
RH..............98     79     67     63     65
20 ft wind......W 1    NW 3   NW 5   NW 6   NW 6
20 ft wind gust.3      7      9      9      10
Mix hgt (ft)....600    2900   4000   4400   3800
Transport wind..W 3    W 6    W 7    NW 7   NW 7
Dispersion idx..8      22     34     39     33
LVORI...........7      3      3      2      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 7 mph shifting to the northeast
                    3 to 7 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....23 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........22     25     21     22     17     12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............87     80     77     76     74     73
RH..............67     80     88     93     96     96
20 ft wind......NW 6   NW 5   N 3    NE 2   NE 1   NE 1
20 ft wind gust.10     7      6      3      2      2
Mix hgt (ft)....2100   500    400    500    400    400
Transport wind..NW 7   NW 7   N 7    NE 7   E 3    NE 3
Dispersion idx..23     3      1      2      2      1
LVORI...........3      5      6      6      9      8

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 8 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 31.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........24     33     7      14     19     27
Weather cov.....                            ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............73     73     81     85     89     87
RH..............98     100    85     72     63     64
20 ft wind......NE 1   N 2    NE 3   NE 5   NE 6   NE 7
20 ft wind gust.2      3      6      9      9      10
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    1600   4000   4800   4200
Transport wind..NE 3   NE 5   NE 7   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6
Dispersion idx..1      4      17     27     31     35
LVORI...........10     9      4      3      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Anderson
Requested by...HC ELM
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422709.0/TBW
.DELDT 09/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL raymonds@hcfl.gov