779
FNUS72 KTBW 061058
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for Area 6...US Air Force
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
658 AM EDT Tue May 6 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

No fire concerns expected through the remainder of the week as ample
moisture will remain in place with winds generally around 10 mph or
less. Increased shower and storm chances likely this weekend into
early next week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
                    Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....20 increasing to 48.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      5 AM   7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM
Sky (%).........31     24     23     33     69
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     20     70
Temp............75     83     88     91     90
RH..............84     65     51     48     48
20 ft wind......SE 3   S 6    S 6    SE 6   SE 6
20 ft wind gust.7      10     12     12     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   3300   5200   6300   5200
Transport wind..S 9    S 9    S 8    S 6    SE 7
Dispersion idx..20     39     47     51     45
LVORI...........5      2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Showers likely
                    early in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms
                    in the evening. Chance of showers early in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    south around 5 mph late in the evening, then
                    becoming light in the late evening and
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....33 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
Sky (%).........69     40     66     37     27     15
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).70     40     40     10     0      0
Temp............88     78     74     72     70     69
RH..............50     74     90     94     99     100
20 ft wind......E 6    SE 5   W 3    SE 3   SE 3   SE 3
20 ft wind gust.10     9      8      8      9      8
Mix hgt (ft)....3000   700    500    700    500    400
Transport wind..SE 8   SE 8   SE 7   S 6    SE 6   SE 6
Dispersion idx..33     5      2      3      3      2
LVORI...........1      3      7      7      9      9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Showers likely
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 25 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 37 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 26 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON
Sky (%).........21     36     26     34     57     57
Weather cov.....                            LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     60     60
Temp............68     71     80     86     89     90
RH..............100    99     76     58     48     46
20 ft wind......SE 3   S 5    S 6    S 6    SE 6   S 6
20 ft wind gust.8      9      10     12     12     10
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1200   2400   3900   5500   4800
Transport wind..S 8    S 9    S 9    S 7    S 6    W 5
Dispersion idx..5      14     28     38     39     29
LVORI...........9      5      3      1      1      2

$$
Forecaster...Pearce
Requested by...Joseph Bruner
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2513130.0/TBW
.DELDT 05/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.bruner@us.af.mil