Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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532
FNUS72 KTBW 202207
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for AR-31A Rx Burn...Florida DEP
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
607 PM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1900 EDT on August 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure remains in control over the area. Increasing
moisture will bring higher rain chances on Thursday during
the late afternoon. West to southwesterly winds prevail
pushing the storms along the coast to the interior.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Sky (%).........12     9      5      3      1      3
Weather cov.....CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).30     10     0      0      0      0
Temp............88     83     80     79     77     76
RH..............61     72     79     84     89     91
20 ft wind......W 8    W 6    NW 3   W 2    W 2    SW 2
20 ft wind gust.15     12     8      6      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....1200   500    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..W 10   W 8    NW 6   NW 5   W 5    W 5
Dispersion idx..19     0      2      2      2      2
LVORI...........2      4      5      6      6      7

.THURSDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........4      7      7      22     32     24
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     20     50     50
Temp............76     78     87     90     92     92
RH..............93     90     70     62     59     58
20 ft wind......SW 2   SW 2   W 6    W 8    W 10   SW 12
20 ft wind gust.6      6      8      15     16     18
Mix hgt (ft)....400    300    3000   3700   4800   3600
Transport wind..W 3    W 5    W 7    W 9    W 10   W 14
Dispersion idx..1      4      25     46     58     56
LVORI...........7      6      3      1      1      1

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........29     22     18     12     12     12
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40     20     20     20     20     20
Temp............88     84     81     79     78     77
RH..............63     74     83     87     91     92
20 ft wind......W 10   SW 8   SW 6   SW 3   SW 2   SW 3
20 ft wind gust.16     15     10     8      6      8
Mix hgt (ft)....3100   800    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..W 13   W 10   SW 7   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
Dispersion idx..34     5      1      3      3      2
LVORI...........1      3      5      6      6      6


$$
Forecaster...Delerme
Requested by...Jon Meyer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520249.1/TBW
.DELDT 08/20/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jonathan.c.meyer@floridadep.gov