Flood Statement
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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009
WGUS82 KTBW 191337
FLSTBW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
937 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge affecting Hillsborough County.

  Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park affecting
  Hillsborough County.

  Withlacoochee At US 41 Dunnellon affecting Levy and Citrus
  Counties.

  Withlacoochee River At Croom affecting Pasco and Sumter Counties.

  Withlacoochee At SR 200 Holder affecting Citrus County.

  Withlacoochee At US 301 Trilby affecting Hernando and Pasco
  Counties.

  Cypress Creek At SR 54 Worthington Gardens affecting Pasco County.

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park affecting Sarasota County.

  Peace River At Bartow affecting Polk County.

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Florida...

  Peace River At Arcadia at SR 70 affecting DeSoto County.

For the Withlacoochee...including US 301 Trilby, Croom, SR 200
Holder, US 41 Dunnellon...Major flooding is forecast.
For the Hillsborough...including Morris Bridge, Hillsborough River
State Park...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Cypress Creek...including SR 54 Worthington Gardens...Major
flooding is forecast.
For the Myakka...including Myakka River State Park...Minor flooding
is forecast.
For the Peace...including Bartow, Arcadia at SR 70...Minor flooding
is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight by 1245 AM EDT.

&&

FLC057-200445-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-241022T0600Z/
/MORF1.3.ER.241010T1455Z.241013T0100Z.241022T0000Z.NR/
937 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
  This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Hillsborough River at Morris Bridge.

* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 35.0 feet, Portions of Morris Bridge road about 3/4
  of a mile south of the bridge begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 33.7 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 29.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:15 AM EDT Saturday was 34.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Monday evening and continue falling to 31.6 feet Tuesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    33.9 feet on 12/29/1997.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Hillsborough River
Morris Bridge     32.0  33.7  Sat 9 am  33.1  32.4  31.6  30.7  30.1


&&

LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230


$$

FLC057-200445-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-241020T1200Z/
/ZPHF1.3.ER.241010T0115Z.241011T0415Z.241020T0600Z.NO/
937 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Hillsborough River near Hillsborough River State Park.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow morning.

* IMPACTS...At 11.0 feet, Hillsborough River State Park may be
  closed. Lowland flooding occurs at the mobile home park near
  Branchton on State Road 579.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 10.6 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM EDT Saturday was 11.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 7.1 feet
    Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    10.7 feet on 09/07/1953.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Hillsborough River
Hillsborough Rive 10.0  10.6  Sat 9 am  9.7   8.4   7.1   6.1   5.4


&&

LAT...LON 2812 8215 2812 8224 2806 8228 2811 8230
      2817 8225 2817 8215


$$

FLC027-200445-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-241023T1800Z/
/ARCF1.2.ER.241009T2105Z.241015T1715Z.241023T1200Z.NO/
937 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Peace River at Arcadia at SR 70.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 13.0 feet, Peace River Estates floods affecting
  several dozen homes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 13.2 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 AM EDT Saturday was 13.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Wednesday morning and continue falling to 10.4 feet Thursday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    13.2 feet on 10/13/1953.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Peace River
Arcadia at SR 7 11.0  13.2  Sat 8 am  12.8  12.2  11.6  11.0  10.4


&&

LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
      2714 8197 2735 8186


$$

FLC017-075-200445-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DNLF1.1.ER.241019T0530Z.241021T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
937 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Withlacoochee at US 41 Dunnellon.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 29.0 feet, Docks and boat ramps flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 29.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 29.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 AM EDT Saturday was 29.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
    stage at 29.0 feet.
  - Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    29.1 feet on 10/05/1965.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

               Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Withlacoochee
US 41 Dunnello 29.0  29.0  Sat 8 am  29.0  29.1  29.1  29.1  29.2


&&

LAT...LON 2898 8244 2902 8248 2909 8244 2907 8237


$$

FLC101-119-200445-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRMF1.3.ER.241011T1145Z.241019T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
937 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Withlacoochee River at Croom.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 13.0 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 9.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 AM EDT Saturday was 13.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.0
    feet this afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.7 feet on 09/12/1950.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Withlacoochee River
Croom             9.0   13.0  Sat 8 am  12.9  12.9  12.7  12.5  12.3


&&

LAT...LON 2854 8226 2879 8224 2879 8215 2854 8217


$$

FLC017-200445-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLDF1.2.ER.241010T2330Z.241022T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
937 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
  forecast.

* WHERE...Withlacoochee at SR 200 Holder.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 9.0 feet, Arrowhead subdivision floods with water in
  homes.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 9.4 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:45 AM EDT Saturday was 9.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
    stage at 9.4 feet.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    9.9 feet on 08/25/2003.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

             Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Withlacoochee
SR 200 Holde 8.0   9.4   Sat 8 am  9.5   9.7   9.8   9.9   10.0


&&

LAT...LON 2879 8224 2898 8244 2907 8237 2879 8215


$$

FLC053-101-200445-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRBF1.3.ER.241010T1241Z.241019T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
937 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
  This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Withlacoochee at US 301 Trilby.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 19.2 feet, Water approaches the U.S. 301 bridge
  roadbed.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 19.7 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 AM EDT Saturday was 19.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 19.7
    feet this afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    19.4 feet on 03/23/1960.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

             Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Withlacoochee
US 301 Trilb 12.0  19.7  Sat 8 am  19.5  19.2  18.9  18.6  18.2


&&

LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210


$$

FLC105-200445-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BARF1.1.ER.241010T0415Z.241016T0230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
937 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Peace River at Bartow.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Private roads downstream flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:15 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 8.7 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:15 AM EDT Saturday was 8.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood
    stage at 8.7 feet.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    8.7 feet on 07/14/1959.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

           Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Peace River
Bartow     8.0   8.7   Sat 9 am  8.7   8.6   8.4   8.3   8.2


&&

LAT...LON 2791 8178 2762 8176 2762 8184 2791 8186


$$

FLC115-200445-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-241020T0600Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.241007T1845Z.241014T0000Z.241020T0000Z.NO/
937 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Myakka River at Myakka River State Park.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 7.0 feet, Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at
  Myakka State Park flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 7.1 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM EDT Saturday was 7.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this evening and continue falling to 6.4 feet Tuesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    7.1 feet on 08/16/1997.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Myakka River
Myakka River Stat 7.0   7.1   Sat 9 am  6.8   6.6   6.4   6.3   6.1


&&

LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226


$$

FLC101-200445-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.3.ER.241003T0115Z.241013T1730Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
937 AM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
  This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Cypress Creek at SR 54 Worthington Gardens.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 12.0 feet, The walkway to the river gage floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM EDT Saturday the stage was 12.5 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM EDT Saturday was 13.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 11.3 feet Tuesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.6 feet on 06/30/1974.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 am EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu

Cypress Creek
SR 54 Worthington 8.0   12.5  Sat 9 am  12.1  11.7  11.3  10.9  10.5


&&

LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240


$$

TBW