535
FXUS62 KTBW 191744
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
144 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 143 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

A very quiet weather pattern continues across our CWA and will be
sticking around the next sevens days. This is due to a strong high
pressure sitting to our north. This high is already starting to
modify. This will result in lows in the mid to upper 60`s each
morning and highs in the low to mid 80`s for the next 7 days. The
only chance of rain will be Sunday across the interior as the strong
easterly winds brings a few sprinkles.

The only big change to the forecast will be the winds. Gusty winds
will remain in the forecast through at least Tuesday as the high
pressure to our north remains anchored in place keeping a tight
pressure gradient over the area. By mid next week the high start
to weaken and move away resulting in winds calming back down.


&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 143 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

VFR conditions with gusty winds out of the north and northeast
throughout the daytime hours.


&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 143 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

Gusty north and northeast winds will continue through the
weekend with a small craft advisory in place. This is due to a
strong high pressure sitting to the north of the state. Winds will
slow down slightly for early next week but expect winds still to be
around 15 to 20 knots with Exercise Caution still in place.
Further weakening of the winds will start by next Wednesday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 143 PM EDT Sat Oct 19 2024

Drier air will remain in place for the next 7 days however RHs
will remain above critical levels. The main concern through early
next week will be the gusty Northeasterly winds. We will see
afternoon gust each day around 20 to 25 mph.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  84  67  82  68 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  85  68  85  70 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  84  66  83  69 /   0   0  10   0
SRQ  85  67  85  69 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  84  63  81  63 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  84  71  81  71 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Monday for Charlotte Harbor
     and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to
     Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to
     Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon
     Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-
     Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-
     Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-
     Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to
     60 NM.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Shiveley
DECISION SUPPORT...ADavis
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...ADavis