690
FXUS62 KTBW 301900
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
300 PM EDT Wed Jul 30 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Wed Jul 30 2025

The surface ridge axis will remain across south Florida through
early next week with a weakening cool front moving into the
southeast states and eventually stalling across north Florida over
the weekend. The rather hot weather will continue through Thursday
and have issued another Heat Advisory for the Nature Coast south
through the Interstate 4 corridor for Thursday afternoon and early
evening. Plenty of moisture will remain across the area through
the period for isolated to scattered late night and morning
convection over the coastal waters and near the coast each day
moving inland and becoming scattered to numerous over the interior
and eastern half of the Florida peninsula each afternoon and
evening. The pattern begins to change early next week with a more
southeast flow setting up by midweek.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 300 PM EDT Wed Jul 30 2025

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop and
move inland away from the coastal TAF sites by 20Z, but continue
around LAL into early this evening. MVFR/local IFR conditions
will be possible in the convection, otherwise VFR conditions are
expected to prevail. More isolated showers and thunderstorms will
be possible Thursday morning around the Tampa Bay region with more
scattered activity developing and moving inland during the
afternoon. Southwest to west at 5 to 10 knots will diminish and
become light later this evening and overnight, and then become
southwest 5 to 10 knots by late morning Thursday.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Wed Jul 30 2025

Weak high pressure will remain over the region with generally
light winds and slight seas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
will be possible each day through the week. Gusty winds, frequent
lightning and heavy downpours could accompany these storms and
make for localized hazardous conditions.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Wed Jul 30 2025

Hot and humid summertime conditions continue with with light winds
and high RHs daily. The afternoon sea breeze will move inland with
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms each day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  83  94  82  94 /  10  30  10  30
FMY  79  95  79  95 /  20  30  20  50
GIF  78  96  79  96 /  20  50  10  50
SRQ  80  93  79  93 /  10  20  10  30
BKV  75  94  76  94 /  10  30   0  30
SPG  82  91  81  91 /  10  20  10  30

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 4
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Heat Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for Coastal Citrus-
     Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Levy-Coastal
     Manatee-Coastal Pasco-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee-
     Highlands-Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-
     Inland Levy-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-
     Pinellas-Polk-Sumter.

     Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM EDT Thursday for Coastal Citrus-
     Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Levy-Coastal
     Pasco-Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-
     Inland Levy-Inland Pasco-Pinellas-Polk-Sumter.

Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

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