Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
713 FXUS62 KTBW 211855 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 155 PM EST Fri Feb 21 2025 .DISCUSSION... A near zonal flow is in place aloft over the region this afternoon with surface high pressure over the southeastern U.S. AFter a chilly start this morning, temperatures have warmed up nicely and will top out from around 60 north to the mid 60s and then lower 70s over southwest Florida. This nice weather will continue through Saturday, though winds veer slightly so temperatures in the afternoon will be a couple of degrees warmer. For Sunday, shortwave energy will move over Texas and along the northern Gulf coast as a surface low tries to develop as well. This system will move across Florida on Monday, bringing showers and a few thunderstorms to the region. Forecast models continue to show another low developing south of the state for mid-week before high pressure briefly builds in ahead of another cold front for Thursday night and Friday. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. && .MARINE... Northeast winds will remain over the waters for the next several days. Winds will increase to exercise caution levels tonight before diminishing below headlines for the rest of the weekend and into early next week. && .FIRE WEATHER... No fire weather concerns as relative humidity values will remain above critical levels. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 50 71 54 71 / 0 10 0 0 FMY 55 77 57 78 / 0 10 0 10 GIF 50 73 53 73 / 0 10 0 0 SRQ 51 74 55 73 / 0 10 0 10 BKV 42 72 45 71 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 53 70 57 70 / 0 10 0 10 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ Carlisle