436
FXUS62 KTBW 121218
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
718 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 306 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025

High pressure will continue to dominate through Thursday, keeping
warm and humid conditions while it lingers. High temperatures will
be well above normal for this time of year, with some areas reaching
close to 90. A transition is on the horizon, though as a cold front
will move into north Florida Thursday afternoon. Chance of showers
increases slightly as the front moves through, mainly for the nature
coast. This particular cold front will be weak and only drop
afternoon  highs Friday afternoon by a couple of degrees. A surface
high will briefly move back in Friday, but will be booted out to the
Atlantic as another storm system develops and moves over the eastern
US. This particular system will bring a stronger cold front to the
area Sunday,with shower activity expected to be more widespread.
Behind this next front, cooler, drier air will filter in dropping
high temperatures back into the upper 60 to mid 70s. The
temperatures rebound to just above normal once again by mid week.
However, the roller coaster of temperatures continues as a an even
stronger cold front is expected by the end of next week and low
temperatures could dip back into the 40s for some areas maybe even a
few norther areas dropping back into the upper 30s. Winter is
determined to make a few more appearances here in Florida before
leaving for good.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 713 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025

Patchy fog and lower CIGS are being seen at a few airports this
morning. This should lift in the next few hours and we can expect
VFR conditions throughout the day. Winds will pick up out of the
south this afternoon before calming back down overnight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 306 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025

Gusty SE winds expected this afternoon. Sea fog continues to be a
concern, especially off the Nature Coast. A cold front approaches
the waters Thursday afternoon then washes out over the region on
Friday. Another front will move through Sunday, with higher winds
expected and the increased chance of showers and storms.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 306 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025

Warm, humid conditions continue through the week. Cold fronts on
Thursday and again on Sunday will bring a chance of showers. No fire
weather concerns at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  83  69  83  67 /   0   0  10  10
FMY  86  69  86  68 /   0   0  10  10
GIF  87  68  88  66 /   0   0  20  20
SRQ  83  69  83  68 /   0   0  10  10
BKV  87  64  87  61 /   0   0  20  20
SPG  79  69  79  68 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for Coastal
     Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Levy-Coastal Pasco-Inland
     Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland Levy-Inland Pasco-Sumter.

Gulf waters...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for Coastal
     waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-
     Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to
     60 NM.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Shiveley
DECISION SUPPORT...Davis
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Davis