487
FXUS62 KTBW 020032
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
832 PM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 832 PM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

High pressure remains in place over the state of Florida, allowing
for southwesterly to westerly flow to continue across the region.
Most of the activity from today in West Central Florida has already
collapsed, and any residual action should quiet down after sunset.

For Saturday, similar conditions to today can be expected. With
the westerly flow, showers and thunderstorms should form off the
state`s west coast and move onshore during early to mid afternoon,
before tracking over inland areas during later afternoon into the
evening. More moisture should once again be present south of
Tampa Bay, with PW values climbing above 2 inches. High
temperatures are expected to remain around the mid 90s, with lows
in the mid 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 832 PM EDT Fri Aug 1 2025

VFR conditions are currently in place, and they are expected to
prevail through the forecast period outside of thunderstorm activity
in the vicinity of terminals. Convection has quieted down across our
area heading into tonight and Saturday morning, where conditions
should remain calm with light winds. Things should pick back up
Saturday in the early to mid afternoon along the coastal areas,
with showers and thunderstorms moving eastward over inland areas a
few hours later. Wind speeds should stay below 10 knots for the
most part area wide.

&&

.MARINE...
Southwest to west winds will continue over the waters for the next
several days, with no headlines expected. Showers and some storms
can be expected during the late night and early morning hours each
day before shifting over land for the afternoon and evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  83  93  82  94 /  10  40  20  50
FMY  78  94  78  94 /  30  50  20  50
GIF  78  96  78  96 /  20  60  20  50
SRQ  79  92  79  92 /  10  40  10  40
BKV  75  93  75  93 /  10  50  20  50
SPG  82  91  81  90 /  10  40  20  40

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 4
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Poggiali/Fleming
PREVIOUS MARINE...Carlisle