Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
104 FXUS62 KTBW 261900 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 300 PM EDT Sat Apr 26 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 300 PM EDT Sat Apr 26 2025 High pressure will hold through Sunday with the warm dry weather continuing and a couple of record highs once again possible away from the coast. During Monday and Tuesday a weakening cool front will approach from the north and eventually wash out across north Florida. Deeper moisture associated with this boundary will move south into the region and this combined with daytime heating and the sea breeze will lead to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms Monday afternoon/evening with highest rain chances from around Interstate 4 northward. On Tuesday, another area of high pressure moving off the eastern seaboard builds south into the region helping to push the area of moisture westward during the day, but should still be enough when combined with daytime heating and the sea breeze to allow for a few showers, especially along the coastal counties. By midweek drier air will return with warm dry weather for the rest of the week. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 300 PM EDT Sat Apr 26 2025 VFR conditions will prevail. Winds will continue to shift to west and northwest across the coastal county TAF sites this afternoon and evening, then become light and variable later this evening into Sunday morning. The light winds Sunday morning will allow for an earlier sea breeze with winds becoming southwest to west during midday/early afternoon at the coastal county TAF sites once again. && .MARINE... Issued at 300 PM EDT Sat Apr 26 2025 High pressure ridge remains over the region through Sunday keeping east to southeast winds in place with a shift to onshore in the afternoon as the sea breeze develops. An approaching frontal boundary will wash out over the waters Monday and Tuesday bringing a chance of showers and a few thunderstorms. Behind it, another area of high pressure build in from the north and northeast by midweek with east to southeast flow returning. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 300 PM EDT Sat Apr 26 2025 An area of high pressure will remain in control through Sunday with fairly light winds mostly out of the east to southeast, expect increasing to around 10 mph as the sea breeze pushes inland during the afternoon. Critical minimum humidity values are expected over interior locations on Sunday, but winds in these areas will remain less than 15 mph so no Red Flag conditions are anticipated. Moisture increases Monday and Tuesday as a weakening front approaches from the north bringing a chance of showers and a few thunderstorms. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 71 92 71 92 / 0 10 0 30 FMY 68 91 68 92 / 0 0 0 20 GIF 67 94 68 92 / 0 10 0 40 SRQ 68 88 68 89 / 0 10 0 20 BKV 61 94 63 92 / 0 10 10 30 SPG 73 88 72 87 / 0 10 0 20 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ Close