444
FXUS62 KTBW 060000
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
700 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 223 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

A very zonal upper level flow combined with strong ridging to our
south will help to continue our warm weather pattern over the next 7
days. Our main concern will still be the possibility for patchy fog
each morning during our commute. Looking into next week models are
showing temperatures creeping up a few degrees warmer. This could put
us into record breaking territory for much of the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 658 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

VFR conditions are in place to start the period but areas of both
sea and land fog may develop across portions of the area overnight
with an extended duration of IFR/LIFR conditions possible where
this occurs. Should the fog development materialize, restrictions
would be most likely between 06Z-13Z with VFR conditions then
returning area-wide by mid morning Thursday and prevail through
the remainder of the period. Winds will be light/vrb overnight,
turning southerly Thursday morning before shifting onshore with
the afternoon sea breeze with wind speeds around 5-7 kts tomorrow.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 223 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

Strong ridging over the area through the rest of the and
into the weekend will keep winds generally between 5 to 10 knots out
of the north and east. However the colder waters combined with
warmer temperatures could bring some patchy sea fog that could be
dense at times.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 223 PM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

Strong ridging over the area is keeping warm and humid
conditions across the area. The biggest concern for fire weather
will be the lower dispersion even though through the afternoon due

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  62  80  62  80 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  62  83  62  84 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  64  84  62  83 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  61  79  61  79 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  57  81  55  81 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  62  75  62  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Giarratana
DECISION SUPPORT...Flannery
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Flannery