279
FXUS62 KTBW 081140
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
740 AM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 736 AM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

Periods of IFR/MVFR ceilings will remain through the next several
hours as frontal boundary crawls out of the the area today.
Behind it, drier and clearer conditions during afternoon. North to
northwesterly winds prevail that could be breezy at times. VFR
conditions are anticipated through the evening and into
Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 344 AM EDT Tue Apr 8 2025

Early morning IR satellite imagery is showing the remains of the
cold front pushing into south Florida, as a cooler and drier
airmass advects into the area today under north and northwest
flow. Onshore breaking swells will continue cause a high risk of
rip currents at area beaches today. Lingering moisture aloft
behind the front will keep skies fairly cloudy today for much of
the area, with the exception of the Nature Coast counties which
should see some clearing in the afternoon. Highs will top out in
the mid to upper 70s today, with drier dew points contributing to
lower humidity. Sunnier skies Wednesday through Friday will let
temperatures climb up slightly, with highs in the upper 70s to mid
80s.

On Friday, a deep trough will dig into the southeastern US,
fueling a surface low that will drag the next cold front into
the Florida Peninsula on Friday night. Global models continue to
keep rain chances modest ahead of this front, but some isolated to
scattered showers cannot be completely ruled out. Cooler air will
then fill in behind the front, with morning lows Sunday and
Monday in the mid 40s and low 50s over the interior.

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  74  62  80  63 /  20   0   0   0
FMY  80  62  83  62 /  60  20   0   0
GIF  77  60  81  61 /  40  10   0   0
SRQ  75  61  80  61 /  40   0   0   0
BKV  74  53  80  54 /  10   0   0   0
SPG  73  64  78  65 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for Coastal Charlotte-
     Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal
     Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Delerme/Fleming
DECISION SUPPORT...Carlisle