341
FXUS62 KTBW 221326
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
826 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Cold front sliding down the FL Peninsula this morning with re
inforcing cold and dry Canadian airmass building into the region
on breezy NW winds today with cool max temps about 10 degrees
below climate normals today. The cold conditions will continue
into the weekend as well. Made minor adjustments to grids early
this morning otherwise forecasts on track.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
VFR conditions to continue with gusty NW winds today and a few
stratu cu clouds over the E Gulf waters. Winds weaken aft 00Z
tonight with persistent cool and dry conditions.

.SHORT TERM (TDY-SAT)...
Issued at 423 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

A clear and chilly morning in paradise. Dry and cool airmass
remains in place through the period as high pressure builds from
the west. The main weather concern will be temperatures overnight
dropping into the upper 30s north to around 50 degrees south
beginning tonight. Afternoon highs struggle to reach 70 degrees
today and especially on Saturday. Clear skies and breezy north to
northwesterly winds prevail.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUN-THU)...
Issued at 423 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

High pressure remains in control during the long term. Lows on
Sunday morning will still be in the upper 30s north to around 50
degrees south, however. building ridge will support a gradual warm
up in temperatures. At the same time, dewpoints remain in the 40s
and 50s...perfect to do outdoor activities. By mid week, highs
climb back into the 80s. Winds will also decrease and marine
conditions improve during the period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 423 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

High pressure continues to build over the region through the next
several days. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the
Gulf waters through early this evening. Winds will remain
elevated to exercise caution levels into tonight. Pressure
gradient relaxes allowing winds to drop below criteria for the
weekend into early next week. Pleasant boating conditions return
through the week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 423 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

Ridge of high pressure continues to build into the weekend with dry
and cool conditions prevailing. Minimum humidity values between
35-55 percent with some areas flirting below 35 percent, especially
over interior areas and the Nature Coast. Breezy north to
northwesterly winds will also produce some moderate to high
dispersions over the next few days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  69  49  68  50 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  73  50  70  49 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  70  42  69  42 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  71  50  70  46 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  67  38  67  38 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  69  55  68  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM EST this evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for Charlotte
     Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita
     Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from
     Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa
     Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL
     out 20 to 60 NM.


&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...RDavis
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Close