927
FXUS62 KTBW 071804
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
204 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

A line of showers and storms ahead of a frontal boundary continues
to move east towards the area. Showers and storms expected to
arrive along the nature coast this evening and then continue
further south as the night progresses. Though conditions are not
entirely favorable for severe storms, a few storms could have
strong, damaging winds, and heavy down pours. Especially along the
nature coast. The line of storms is expected to weaken as it
moves further south, likely being transitioning to showers by the
time it reaches SWFL. Low clouds and isolated showers linger
behind the main line into tomorrow morning. Once the frontal line
moves through tomorrow, a cooler, dry air mass will filter in.
High temperatures tomorrow will likely not make it out of the 70s.
The cooler, closer to average temperatures stick around for a
couple days as high pressure tries to build back in. A weaker
frontal boundary is expected to move through Friday night into
Saturday morning, dropping temperatures and dewpoints for the
weekend. All in all a pleasant week, once the showers and storms
move through tonight and tomorrow morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Conditions will continue to deteriorate as the evening approaches
and the line of showers and storms associated with a frontal line
makes its way over the area. Low, mvfr/ifr ceilings will continue
behind the frontal passage until the afternoon tomorrow. Winds
will begin to diminish this evening and shift more northerly
tomorrow behind the front.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Hazardous marine conditions expected the next couple of days as a
frontal line moves over the area. Today elevated winds and a line
of showers and storms will keep marine conditions poor. An
elevated risk of rip currents will continue through Wednesday
morning. Conditions continue to improve through the rest of the
week, until another cold front moves through Friday night into
Saturday morning.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Fire weather concerns remain limited today and tomorrow as extra
moisture associated with a frontal boundary hangs over the area.
However behind the front dry air moves in dropping RH values below
criteria. However, winds should remain below 15mph.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  67  73  62  81 /  70  20  10   0
FMY  71  77  60  83 /  50  50  30   0
GIF  66  75  59  81 /  60  40  10  10
SRQ  67  74  62  80 /  60  30  10   0
BKV  60  73  53  81 /  70  10   0   0
SPG  68  72  64  79 /  70  20  10   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Pearce
DECISION SUPPORT...Carlisle