854
FXUS62 KTBW 300011
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
811 PM EDT Tue Jul 29 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 807 PM EDT Tue Jul 29 2025

It has been a fairly active afternoon with scattered storms firing
up over the area. The maximum winds observed were around 30-40 mph
in the strongest storms. Some storms remain over Hardee and Desoto
counties, but things are expected to quiet down overnight with
partly cloudy skies expected. The more pressing weather concern was
the extreme heat. Winterhaven and Ruskin both hit record highs
topping out at 100 degrees and 97 degrees. Widespread heat indices
of 113+ degrees were also reported with Tampa International Airport
breaking a heat index record reaching 119 degrees. The heat will
continue on Wednesday with heat indices exceeding 108 degrees for
most of the area once again. This has warranted the issuance of a
Heat Advisory from noon until 7 pm on Wednesday. No big changes
needed to current forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 807 PM EDT Tue Jul 29 2025

VFR conditions and southwest winds less than 10 knots will prevail
at all terminals through the period. Model guidance has showers and
storms firing up again between 16-17Z tomorrow, so will hold PROB30
TSRA at all terminals through 21-22Z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 807 PM EDT Tue Jul 29 2025

Weak high pressure ridging across south Florida and into the eastern
gulf will keep a light southwest wind around 10 knots or less and
seas less than 2 feet over the waters. Scattered showers and storms
will be possible each day through the week. Gusty winds, frequent
lightning and heavy downpours could accompany these storms and make
for localized hazardous conditions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  83  94  82  94 /  20  30  10  30
FMY  80  94  79  95 /  20  40  10  50
GIF  79  97  79  96 /  30  60  10  50
SRQ  80  93  79  93 /  20  20  10  30
BKV  76  94  76  95 /  20  40  10  30
SPG  82  90  81  91 /  20  30  10  30

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 4
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM EDT Wednesday for Coastal Citrus-
     Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Levy-Coastal
     Manatee-Coastal Pasco-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee-
     Highlands-Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-
     Inland Levy-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-
     Pinellas-Polk-Sumter.

Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT...Delerme
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Fleming