Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FNUS72 KTAE 220840
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for BU 14 and 15...FWC
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
440 AM EDT Thu May 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Following the passage of a late season cold front late Wednesday,
a drier air mass has spread across the burn site. Min RH below 30
percent is likely this afternoon. Northerly breezes behind the
front will gradually decrease this morning, with light and
variable winds through the early and mid afternoon hours. Weak
high pressure will set up over the northeast Gulf late today and
stay there through the weekend, so a turn to a more westerly
breeze is expected by tonight.

.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........61  62  45  40  41  39  29  26  24  13  18  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............64  64  66  70  78  82  85  88  90  90  91  90
RH..............81  78  78  71  54  44  39  33  30  30  28  28
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  N   N   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   3   5   5   3   3   0   0   1   2
20 FT wind gust.3   3   6   7   9   9   7   7   2   2   3   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.4 2.3 3.3 4.3 5.3 6.3 6.6 6.8 7.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   9   10  10  8   6   3   3   3   5
Dispersion......3   3   7   16  31  43  46  39  30  30  32  41
LVORI...........4   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   2   2   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
Sky (%).........28  24  32  15  16  10  6   9   4   9   9   18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............90  89  84  79  76  73  72  69  68  67  66  66
RH..............30  34  43  54  60  68  71  78  81  84  84  84
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   10  9   9   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...4.9 2.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   8   8   7
Dispersion......34  21  3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........10  18  12  18  8   4   5   7   8   8   8   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  65  67  72  78  82  85  88  91  92  92  93
RH..............87  90  87  76  64  58  50  42  37  36  34  33
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   7   7   9   9   9   9   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.3 3.6 4.9 6.2 6.5 6.8 7.2
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   6   5   5   6   7   8   8   8   7
Dispersion......3   3   7   8   12  15  27  44  61  61  61  59
LVORI...........6   6   5   4   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Haner
Requested by...Robert Wielgus
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514465.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert.wielgus@myfwc.com