Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
084
FNUS72 KTAE 081041
FWSTAE
Spot Forecast for RX pile...State of Florida park service
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
641 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0656 EDT on October 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Lighter transport winds are forecast this afternoon and will
generally be out of the east and northeast. 20 foot winds will
generally be out of the northeast in the morning but become more
variable from 1 to 6pm as the influence of a weak seabreeze
potentially affects the site. This makes the wind direction
forecast more uncertain in this period. While the 20 ft winds will
be more variable, transport winds should still remain fairly
consistent out of the east and northeast. Additionally, a slight
chance of showers/storms could affect the site after 2 or 3 pm
CDT. Given the lighter transport winds dispersions will be lower
and likely peak around 25. Minimum relative humidities will drop
to around 65% but lower relative humidities down to 55 to 60% are
possible if northeast flow can remain persistent. For Thursday, a
frontal system will approach and winds will likely become
northeasterly and higher dispersions are forecast along with a
better chance for rain. Higher gusts to around 15 and 20 mph are
possible as well on Thursday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the late morning and afternoon, then becoming
light and variable late in the afternoon. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 7 mph shifting to the north late in
the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 20 in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36 36 36 29 29 29 48 48 48 57 57 57
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20
Temp............72 72 72 75 78 81 83 85 86 86 86 84
RH..............97 97 97 90 88 79 74 72 68 68 68 72
20 FT wind dir..E E NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E SW
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3
20 FT wind gust.8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 9 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 1.9 1.5 1.2
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E NE NE NE N N N
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
Dispersion......8 8 8 15 15 16 23 25 24 21 18 18
LVORI...........6 7 6 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 13 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....9.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........52 52 52 53 53 53 34 34 34 26 26 26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............84 83 80 79 77 77 75 75 74 74 73 73
RH..............72 74 82 82 85 82 84 84 87 84 90 87
20 FT wind dir..NW N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 6
20 FT wind gust.10 9 9 10 10 12 12 12 13 14 14 15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
Transp wind spd.7 7 8 8 9 10 12 12 12 13 13 13
Dispersion......10 10 10 7 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 42.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17 17 17 23 23 23 35 35 35 32 32 32
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............72 72 71 74 78 81 84 85 85 85 85 84
RH..............90 87 93 87 79 72 65 63 63 63 61 61
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9
20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 18 20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.0 2.7 2.4
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E NE
Transp wind spd.13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 13 14 15
Dispersion......14 14 14 30 30 30 42 42 42 41 41 41
LVORI...........5 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
$$
Forecaster...Dobbs
Requested by...Kyle Bass
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523016.2/TAE
.DELDT 10/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kyle.bass@floridadep.gov