Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
134
FNUS72 KTAE 030703
FWSTAE
Spot Forecast for SMR Unit 406 (West)...USFWS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
303 AM EDT Thu Jul 3 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on July 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Showers with embedded thunderstorms are likely this afternoon
with generally low dispersions. Watch for northerly 20 FT winds
this morning to shift to southerly this afternoon. More shower
and thunderstorm chances on Friday, especially in the afternoon,
with better dispersion. Watch for northerly 20 FT winds on Friday
morning to clock around to southerly by the evening. Patchy fog
is possible the next couple of mornings until 9 AM. Thunderstorms
may produce brief erratic and gusty winds on both afternoons.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
showers in the morning, then showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
morning, then increasing to 30 percent early in
the afternoon increasing to 50 percent early in
the afternoon increasing to 60 percent
increasing to 70 percent late in the afternoon
decreasing to 60 percent decreasing to 50
percent late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph shifting to the west
around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 21 in the late morning and
early afternoon, then increasing to 27 early in
the afternoon decreasing to 17 late in the
afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39 24 14 18 17 31 52 50 52 68 73
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10 10 10 10 20 30 50 60 70 60 50
Temp............74 76 80 84 88 89 90 88 88 88 87
RH..............97 94 85 77 66 61 58 61 61 61 65
20 FT wind dir..NW NW N N N N N SW SE S S
20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.5 6 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.5 2.4 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.5 3.1 2.7
Transp wind dir.NW NW N N N N NW NW NW W W
Transp wind spd.5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
Dispersion......2 5 9 16 24 25 25 28 26 18 16
LVORI...........8 6 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly clear (15-25 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms early in the evening, then
slight chance of showers late in the evening.
CWR.................40 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest
around 3 mph late in the evening, then shifting
to the northwest 3 to 7 mph overnight.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....14 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59 32 23 19 19 21 12 9 11 17 26 32
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............40 30 30 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............85 85 85 83 82 81 80 79 76 76 75 74
RH..............70 70 70 77 79 82 85 88 94 94 97 97
20 FT wind dir..S SW W W W W NW NW N NW N N
20 FT wind spd..2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT wind gust.7 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 1.4 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W NW NW W SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 5 5 6 7
Dispersion......16 11 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 7 7 7
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers
and thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 7 mph shifting to the northeast 6 to
8 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 18 late in the morning, then
increasing to 34 early in the afternoon
increasing to 42 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 28.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38 44 49 63 54 45 50 56 61 62 62 63
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............10 10 30 30 30 30 30 30 60 60 60 60
Temp............74 74 77 81 85 88 90 90 90 89 88 87
RH..............97 97 90 85 75 66 62 60 60 61 66 68
20 FT wind dir..N N N N NE NE NE E E SE S SW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.3 2.2 3.1 4.0 4.9 5.8 4.8 3.9 2.9
Transp wind dir.N N N N NE NE NE NE NE N N N
Transp wind spd.7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 7
Dispersion......3 3 6 9 15 21 31 37 45 38 32 23
LVORI...........7 7 5 4 3 3 2 2 1 2 2 3
$$
Forecaster...LF
Requested by...T. Pollard
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2517152.0/TAE
.DELDT 07/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL travis_pollard@fws.gov