Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
563
FNUS72 KTAE 060937
FWSTAE
Spot Forecast for SMR Unit 309...USFWS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
537 AM EDT Fri Jun 6 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Light west winds become southwest through the morning with
daytime heating and as the seabreeze begins to develop through the
day expect winds to become southerly by the late morning and
early afternoon and pick up speed to around 5 to 10 mph. Similar
to the last few days, morning showers and some thunderstorms could
affect the site, but with the mean winds out of the west, shower
and thunderstorm chances could stick around longer into the early
afternoon as the seabreeze will be slower to progress inland west
of the burn compared to locations east of the burn. Most shower
activity in the morning won`t have lightning, but with afternoon
heating, early afternoon storms will see increased potential for
lightning as they grow stronger. Additionally, storms could bring
stronger wind gusts than we`ve seen in recent days as drier air
aloft helps give thunderstorm downbursts a little more strength
today thanks to higher instability this afternoon. Most shower and
storm activity should push inland finally by the late afternoon
hours at the site.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
thunderstorms early in the morning. Chance of
showers and thunderstorms into the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 50 percent late in the
morning and early afternoon, then decreasing to
20 percent late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light southwest winds becoming south or
southwest 5 to 6 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 16 mph.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 52.
TIME (EDT) 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........33 31 40 40 43 32 43 37 32 42
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH
CWR.............10 10 10 50 50 50 30 30 30 20
Temp............75 80 84 87 89 90 89 90 90 89
RH..............100 91 80 70 66 62 66 66 66 66
20 FT wind dir..W W W W SW SW SW S S S
20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 2 5 5 5 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.6 7 7 8 9 10 13 14 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.5 2.2 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.0 2.8 2.6
Transp wind dir.W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.8 8 8 8 9 10 13 14 16 16
Dispersion......9 15 22 29 35 42 49 52 54 53
LVORI...........7 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent early in
the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 16 mph.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....42 decreasing to 8 early in the evening.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........42 39 41 26 35 23 46 42 32 46 59 54
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
CWR.............20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
Temp............87 86 84 82 79 77 76 74 74 74 73 73
RH..............72 72 77 82 91 94 97 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT wind gust.15 14 14 13 12 12 12 10 10 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.8 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.16 16 15 14 13 12 12 12 10 10 10 10
Dispersion......46 37 10 7 7 6 6 6 5 6 6 6
LVORI...........2 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms early in the morning. Showers
and thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 16 mph.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 48.
TIME (EDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........36 40 32 32 32 28 31 36 39 40 41 41
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............0 0 40 40 40 40 40 40 60 60 60 60
Temp............73 73 76 82 86 86 86 87 87 87 88 88
RH..............100 100 97 88 75 72 72 70 70 70 68 68
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 2 2 3 5 5 5 6 7 7
20 FT wind gust.9 9 9 9 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.9 1.0 1.8 2.5 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.6
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 12 13 14 15 16
Dispersion......6 5 17 25 32 38 41 45 49 50 51 50
LVORI...........8 8 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
$$
Forecaster...Dobbs
Requested by...T. Pollard
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515431.0/TAE
.DELDT 06/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL travis_pollard@fws.gov