Suppression Forecast
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420
FNUS72 KTAE 021957
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for CPT 39...USFS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
357 PM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on July 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms are likely at the wildfire later this
afternoon and evening, there are currently some showers and storms
in the vicinity. Winds are generally out of the west to southwest
through the rest of today, turning out of the north tomorrow.
Relatively low dispersions the rest of this afternoon, with fair
dispersions late tomorrow morning and afternoon. MinRH remains
above critical thresholds.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
CWR.................70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
LVORI...............3.
Dispersion index....23.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67  68
Weather cov.....LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY
CWR.............70  70
Temp............84  83
RH..............80  82
20 FT wind dir..W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3
20 FT wind gust.12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 2.4
Transp wind dir.W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7
Dispersion......25  21
LVORI...........3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
CWR.................70 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 7 mph.
LVORI...............7.
Dispersion index....13 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........73  72  63  69  63  67  61  66  65  65  61  50
Weather cov.....LKY LKY CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........LKY LKY CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............70  60  30  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............82  82  80  78  77  76  76  75  74  74  74  73
RH..............85  85  91  97  97  97  97  100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   SW  SW  W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.9   8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion......16  10  3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........4   4   6   7   8   8   8   9   9   8   9   10

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the late morning
                    and early afternoon. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent in the late
                    morning and early afternoon, then increasing to
                    30 percent early in the afternoon increasing to
                    40 percent late in the afternoon decreasing to
                    30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 5 mph shifting to the north 5 to
                    6 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 17 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 25 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 38 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 27.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  44  33  24  20  28  24  35  39  43  34  46
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10  0   0   0   20  20  20  20  30  40  40  30
Temp............73  73  75  80  84  86  88  89  88  89  88  87
RH..............100 100 100 91  82  75  68  66  66  64  66  68
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   NW  N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   5   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.4 2.3 3.3 4.1 4.8 5.6 5.1 4.7 4.2
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.3   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5   5
Dispersion......2   2   4   7   14  19  25  35  40  37  30  24
LVORI...........10  10  8   5   4   3   3   2   1   1   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Oliver
Requested by...Claire Durham
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517140.0/TAE
.DELDT 07/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL flfic@firenet.gov,bryan.huggins@usda.gov