Suppression Forecast
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033
FNUS72 KTAE 290614
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for SMR 105, 155...USFWS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
214 AM EDT Tue Jul 29 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on July 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Dangerous heat will continue today with highs in the mid 90s and
heat indices of 108-112F this afternoon. North winds and poor
dispersions will start the day until late this morning when the
seabreeze develops and winds become southwesterly and dispersions
improve. After noon, isolated to widely scattered showers and
thunderstorms are expected near the coast then slowly move inland
through late afternoon. Any thunderstorm that develop may lead to
erratic and gusty winds.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 5 mph shifting to the southwest 3 to
                    10 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 29 in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31  29  29  29  42  42  42  50  50  50
Weather cov.....                CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
CWR.............0   10  10  10  50  50  50  60  60  60
Temp............81  85  89  93  93  93  94  93  92  91
RH..............85  77  70  62  60  60  58  60  60  62
20 FT wind dir..N   N   W   SW  SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   3   5   7   7   8   7
20 FT wind gust.6   3   3   3   6   9   13  13  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.1 1.8 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.5 2.1 1.8
Transp wind dir.N   NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   3   3   3   5   7   8   9   10  10
Dispersion......4   11  11  11  29  29  29  28  28  28
LVORI...........5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
CWR.................40 percent decreasing to 10 percent in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 78.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph becoming light.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 9 mph shifting to the south around 3
                    mph overnight.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....14 decreasing to 3 in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53  53  53  46  46  46  31  31  31  17  17  17
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............40  40  40  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0
Temp............89  87  85  84  83  82  81  81  80  80  80  79
RH..............66  70  75  77  80  79  85  85  88  85  88  88
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.10  9   7   6   6   6   3   3   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion......14  14  14  4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    late in the morning, then chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 12 mph increasing to 13 to 17
                    mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 56.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  22  22  16  16  16  17  17  17  15  15  15
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30
Temp............79  79  79  85  89  92  94  95  95  95  94  92
RH..............88  91  88  80  73  66  60  58  58  56  58  62
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.2   2   6   6   9   10  13  14  17  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.3 2.1 2.9 3.3 3.7 4.0 3.6 3.2 2.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   3   5   6   8   10  12  13  14  15  16  17
Dispersion......5   5   5   37  37  37  56  56  56  55  55  55
LVORI...........6   7   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   2

$$
Forecaster...Scholl
Requested by...T. Pollard
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518776.0/TAE
.DELDT 07/29/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL travis_pollard@fws.gov