Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
812
FNUS72 KTAE 190608
FWSTAE
Spot Forecast for SMR Unit 416...USFWS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
208 AM EDT Sat Jul 19 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on July 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Good dispersions are expected this afternoon with west to
southwest transport winds around 5-10 mph. Isolated thunderstorms
may develop this afternoon near the burn site, but the better
chances are generally north and west of the site. Otherwise,
dangerous heat is expected with highs in the mid 90s and heat
index values of 105-110 are possible. Similar conditions are
expected for Sunday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 3 mph shifting to the southwest 5 to
12 mph late in the morning.
LVORI...............6.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 43.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19 19 17 17 17 17 17 17 15 15 15
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............75 78 82 88 90 91 92 93 94 95 93
RH..............100 97 91 72 66 62 60 58 56 55 58
20 FT wind dir..N N N S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..0 1 1 1 2 3 3 5 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.3 3 3 5 6 7 9 10 12 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.4 2.3 3.2 3.4 3.7 3.9 3.6 3.3 3.0
Transp wind dir.NW NW W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.2 2 2 3 5 6 8 9 10 10 12
Dispersion......3 3 17 17 17 42 42 42 43 43 43
LVORI...........10 7 6 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 13 mph.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....37 decreasing to 5 in the late evening and
overnight.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8 8 8 10 10 10 8 8 8 19 19 19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............91 90 87 85 83 82 80 79 78 78 77 76
RH..............62 62 68 72 80 79 85 88 91 91 94 97
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1
20 FT wind gust.13 13 12 10 10 9 8 7 7 6 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 1.9 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.12 13 13 12 10 10 9 8 8 7 7 7
Dispersion......37 37 37 6 6 6 4 4 4 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 7 7
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest 10 to
12 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 48.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22 22 22 13 13 13 18 18 18 18 18 18
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............76 75 77 82 87 90 92 94 94 94 93 92
RH..............97 100 97 79 68 62 56 53 51 53 54 56
20 FT wind dir..W W NW NW NW NW W W SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 6 6
20 FT wind gust.7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 10 13 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.4 2.2 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.7 4.3 3.9 3.5
Transp wind dir.W NW NW NW NW NW W W W W SW SW
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 12
Dispersion......7 7 7 29 29 29 47 47 47 49 49 49
LVORI...........7 9 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...Young
Requested by...T. Pollard
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518251.0/TAE
.DELDT 07/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL travis_pollard@fws.gov