656
FNUS72 KTAE 221955
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Scotts Ferry Road (07)...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
355 PM EDT Tue Jul 22 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CDT on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A line of strong to severe thunderstorms are currently pushing into
the fire area from the NE. These storms are producing regular
wind gusts of 40 MPH, with some stronger gusts of 50-60 MPH.
Rain rates are quite high and could produce localized flooding. A
Similar day expected tomorrow with increased rainfall amounts, and
an earlier start to the day. Winds over the next several days
will shift and be somewhat erratic, depending on the position and
strength of a low pressure system moving into the gulf. Conditions
begin to dry this weekend, with a return of near heat advisory
high temperatures.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
CWR.................60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
LVORI...............1.
Dispersion index....47.

TIME (CDT)      4PM
Sky (%).........70
Weather cov.....LKY
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........LKY
CWR.............60
Temp............92
RH..............62
20 FT wind dir..W
20 FT wind spd..5
20 FT wind gust.13
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4
Transp wind dir.NW
Transp wind spd.12
Dispersion......47
LVORI...........1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening and
                    overnight.
CWR.................50 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....36 decreasing to 3 in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (CDT)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
Sky (%).........79  79  79  64  64  64  55  55  55  49  49  49
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............50  50  50  30  30  30  30  30  30  10  10  10
Temp............90  88  87  85  84  81  81  80  80  80  79  79
RH..............68  75  77  80  82  88  88  91  88  88  88  88
20 FT wind dir..W   W   SW  SW  SW  NW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.12  12  9   8   8   8   7   6   7   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 1.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  10  9   8   8   7   6   6   5   5   5   5
Dispersion......36  36  36  4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7

$$
Forecaster...Humphreys
Requested by...Tina Sadler
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518424.0/TAE
.DELDT 07/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL susan.sadler@fdacs.gov