Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
686
FNUS72 KTAE 121102
FWSTAE
Spot Forecast for Grade 6 Fire...USFWS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
602 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EST on November 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Light and variable winds this morning will become westerly around
5 mph this afternoon. Dispersions will be fair given the generally
light westerly transport winds around 5-10 mph and mixing heights
around 3,500 feet. Minimum RH values will bottom out in the low
30s this afternoon. Winds become light and variable after sunset.
Fog is not expected at or near the fire tonight.
For Thursday, winds become more northwesterly but still rather
light at 5 mph or less. Fair dispersions continue thanks to these
light winds and mixing heights around 4,000-4,500 feet. Minimum RH
values will be a bit higher, only dropping into the low to mid
40s.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 5 mph shifting to the west 5 to
9 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 35.
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 3 3 3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............31 40 50 56 61 65 67 68 69 68 66
RH..............88 70 54 49 42 37 36 35 33 35 38
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE W W W W W W SW SW
20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.3 3 3 3 5 7 8 8 8 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.7 1.0 1.3 2.0 2.8 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 2.3
Transp wind dir.NE N NW W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.3 5 5 6 7 8 9 8 8 7 7
Dispersion......4 4 19 19 19 37 37 37 33 33 33
LVORI...........5 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 7 mph shifting to the northwest 7 to
8 mph after 3 am.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....13 decreasing to 3 in the late evening and
overnight.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5 5 5 8 8 8 4 4 4 5 5 5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............63 59 56 54 53 52 50 49 48 47 47 47
RH..............46 57 66 71 77 80 86 89 89 93 93 93
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT wind gust.9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W SW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 7 8
Dispersion......13 13 13 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 6 6
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 42.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1 1 1 1 1 1 8 8 8 9 9 9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............46 46 50 56 63 68 71 72 74 74 74 72
RH..............96 96 93 83 70 61 55 53 48 48 46 49
20 FT wind dir..NW NW N N N N N N N NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.7 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.3 3.1 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.3 3.0
Transp wind dir.NW N N N N N N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.8 8 9 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 8
Dispersion......10 10 10 30 30 30 40 40 40 43 43 43
LVORI...........6 7 6 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2
$$
Forecaster...Young
Requested by...Bart Rye
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525655.0/TAE
.DELDT 11/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL barton_rye@fws.gov