446
FNUS72 KTAE 151845
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for J-23, 25...USFWS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
245 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on October 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Fairly light east to northeast winds are expected for much of the
day on Thursday, although a seabreeze may be able to develop and
push into the site late in the afternoon. Winds are forecast to
become southeasterly on Friday as surface high pressure to the
north slides off to the east. This will also allow for a gradual
moistening trend Friday into the weekend. The next chance for rain
is expected on Sunday, although significant rainfall amounts
appear unlikely at this time.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph.
LVORI...............3.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 32 in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............61  64  72  78  82  85  86  87  88  87
RH..............90  87  68  58  49  45  43  42  39  40
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.7   6   7   7   7   8   9   8   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.7 1.3 2.0 3.1 4.2 5.1 5.5 5.5 5.0
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
Dispersion......5   12  12  12  27  27  27  36  36  36
LVORI...........5   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the south 5 to 7
                    mph in the evening and overnight, then shifting
                    to the east around 7 mph after 3 am.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....25 decreasing to 3 in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........4   4   4   10  10  10  8   8   8   6   6   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............85  82  76  73  71  70  69  68  67  66  65  65
RH..............45  53  64  73  79  81  84  84  87  90  90  90
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   8   7   7   6   7   7   7   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   SE  E   E
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   6   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7
Dispersion......25  25  25  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph early
                    in the morning, then increasing to around 7 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 9 mph shifting to the south 8 to
                    9 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 41 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........6   6   6   5   5   5   12  12  12  24  24  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............63  62  63  67  72  77  80  82  83  84  84  83
RH..............97  97  93  84  71  62  56  51  49  48  48  49
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.9   9   10  12  13  14  14  14  13  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.2 3.2 4.2 5.0 5.5 5.6 5.3 4.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   9
Dispersion......9   9   9   36  36  36  42  42  42  45  45  45
LVORI...........7   7   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Merrifield
Requested by...Wayne Rushing
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523653.0/TAE
.DELDT 10/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL roy.rushing@us.af.mil