219
FNUS72 KTAE 211242
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for EL-50/EL-54...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
742 AM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on November 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

A cold front has moved through the area with transport winds
generally out of the northwest around 15 to 20 mph. Dispersions
will be good to excellent late this afternoon as mixing heights
increase. Min RH values will drop into the upper 20s to lower 30s.
this afternoon. Another re-enforcing cold front moves through
tonight, keeping transport winds out of the northwest around 15
mph through the night. Transport winds increase to 20 to 25 mph
Friday with min RH values in the mid-30s. Dispersions will be good
to excellent again Friday afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 22 mph.
LVORI...............2.
Dispersion index....24 increasing to 41 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 58 late in the morning increasing
                    to 66 early in the afternoon increasing to 76
                    decreasing to 58 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   2   2   3   2   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  51  56  59  60  61  63  62  62  60
RH..............63  54  43  37  35  35  32  34  34  36
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   7   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.15  16  18  18  18  20  21  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 2.1 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 2.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.14  16  17  18  18  18  21  22  22  20
Dispersion......24  41  54  60  62  64  67  67  76  58
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 15 mph.
LVORI...............2.
Dispersion index....31 decreasing to 6.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   6   6   4   3   6   4   2   3   4   5   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............56  54  51  49  49  48  47  46  45  44  44  42
RH..............42  43  48  52  52  54  53  56  58  60  60  62
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.17  13  9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.15  13  13  13  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  14
Dispersion......31  5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 21 mph increasing to 16 to 24
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 29 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 49 late in the morning increasing
                    to 68 in the late morning and afternoon
                    decreasing to 49.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   9   1   3   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............41  41  43  47  51  54  56  58  59  59  60  57
RH..............65  62  62  51  44  46  43  39  37  39  36  40
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   13  15  16  16  16  16  16  17  16  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 2.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.14  14  17  21  24  23  22  20  20  20  18  16
Dispersion......6   14  29  49  68  71  71  68  68  68  65  49
LVORI...........3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Young
Requested by...Brian Steele
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427144.0/TAE
.DELDT 11/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brian.steele@fdacs.gov