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FNUS72 KTAE 131409
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Conservation Park CPU-17 Burn...City of Panama City Beach
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1009 AM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on August 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Light west winds are in place to start the burn time with a few
showers offshore. The seabreeze will develop later this morning
then push further inland this afternoon with winds switching to
southwesterly. A few gusts may approach 15-20 mph as the seabreeze
passes by. A low chance of a shower or two developing along the
seabreeze later this morning with that chance moving further
inland this afternoon. Temperatures will be warm with highs in the
90s and heat indices into the mid 100s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 13 mph.
LVORI...............3.
Dispersion index....33.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........4   4   11  11  11  14  14  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............86  88  90  90  90  91  90  89
RH..............77  72  68  66  68  66  68  70
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  12  13  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.4 2.2 1.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  9   9   9   10  12  13
Dispersion......31  36  33  31  30  30  31  30
LVORI...........3   3   3   2   2   2   2   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 79.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 13 mph.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....25 decreasing to 6 early in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
Sky (%).........17  17  17  28  28  28  35  35  35  21  21  21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............88  87  86  84  83  82  81  81  80  81  80  80
RH..............75  77  80  82  85  88  88  88  91  88  91  91
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   7   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.14  13  13  12  12  12  12  12  12  10  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.13  12  12  12  12  10  10  10  10  9   8   8
Dispersion......27  23  7   7   6   7   6   5   5   5   5   4
LVORI...........3   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   6   6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    7 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 25.

TIME (CDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........27  27  27  15  15  15  23  23  23  12  12  12
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............79  79  79  83  87  89  91  92  92  93  91  91
RH..............94  91  94  85  75  68  64  62  62  60  64  64
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.9   9   8   8   8   8   8   9   10  10  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.8 1.5 2.1 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.7 2.3 1.9
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   SW  S   SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   7   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9
Dispersion......4   4   9   13  17  21  22  24  27  26  24  22
LVORI...........6   6   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Scholl
Requested by...Tannyr Lamica Bush
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2619617.0/TAE
.DELDT 08/13/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tannyr.lamicabush@pcbfl.gov