254
FNUS72 KTAE 110637
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for New Light...USDA FS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
237 AM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0835 EDT on June 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Fair dispersions are forecast today. Transport and surface winds
will generally be out of the east early this morning before turning
more southeasterly as the sea breeze pushes inland this afternoon.
MinRH will generally drop to between 35 to 45 percent ahead of the
sea breeze before quickly rebounding in the wake of it. Rain chances
are around 10 percent this afternoon. While fog is not explicitly in
the forecast, we`ll monitor the potential of it forming near the
burn site later tonight into early Friday morning, but confidence
and chances are low in it occurring at this time.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 6 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 2 mph shifting to the south 3 to 8
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 47.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   2   14  14  14  26  26  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............75  79  85  88  91  93  94  94  96  95
RH..............90  85  65  55  49  44  43  46  43  43
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   S   SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   1   1   2   3   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6   8   10  13  14  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.8 2.9 4.1 4.9 5.8 6.6 6.2 5.9 5.5
Transp wind dir.W   SW  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.2   2   3   3   5   5   6   7   7   8
Dispersion......3   6   13  18  26  32  44  47  46  49
LVORI...........6   4   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 9 mph shifting to the west 6
                    to 8 mph late in the evening.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....41 decreasing to 4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........9   9   9   4   4   4   8   8   8   23  23  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............93  92  90  85  83  81  79  78  77  76  75  75
RH..............46  49  54  63  70  74  79  79  85  87  90  90
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   3   2   2   2   1   1   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.15  16  14  13  12  12  10  10  10  9   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 2.8 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   9   8   8   7   7   7   6   6
Dispersion......41  30  4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   3   4   5   5   5   6   6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 45.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52  52  52  27  27  27  17  17  17  24  24  24
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20
Temp............75  74  76  80  85  89  92  94  96  95  97  95
RH..............90  93  90  82  67  57  51  46  42  43  42  46
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   10  9   8   8   9   10  12  15  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 0.8 1.7 2.6 3.5 4.4 5.3 6.2 5.5 4.8 4.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   7   7   6   6   5   6   8   9
Dispersion......3   2   6   13  23  31  34  37  39  41  45  45
LVORI...........6   7   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Reese
Requested by...Kelly Welborn
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2615223.2/TAE
.DELDT 06/11/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kelly.welborn@usda.gov