341
FXUS62 KTAE 221604
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1104 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1101 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

The forecast is on track, and no signficant changes are needed.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 234 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

For today, breezy and cool conditions will prevail with clear
skies behind a cold front. High temperatures will generally range
from the mid to upper 50s across the northern counties to the low
to mid 60s closer to the coast. The main concern will be the
potential for frost early Saturday morning as winds diminish
overnight with clear skies and the cold airmass in place. Low
temperatures Saturday morning are expected to bottom out in the
mid 30s for most of the area away from the coast with sufficient
low level moisture for areas of frost. A frost advisory will
likely be needed for most of the area away from the coast tonight,
but the day shift can fine tune the area with another round of
model guidance today.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

&&

.LONG TERM...

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 623 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

VFR conditions with clear skies are expected to prevail. Low level
wind shear is expected at VLD early this morning with near calm
surface winds and northwest winds around 30 knots at around 2000
ft. By mid-morning, surface winds will increase out of the
northwest for all sites with gusts near 20 knots expected, and the
low level wind shear will come to an end.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 234 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

Advisory-level conditions continue today, but the winds will be
starting their downward trend through the day following the
frontal passage early this morning. The Small Craft Advisory
should be allowed to expire this afternoon, with exercise caution
conditions continuing through the overnight hours into Saturday
morning. Afterwards, more tranquil boating conditions ensue with
light northwesterly/northerly winds for the remainder of the
weekend. As we start the work week, winds will become southerly
when the surface high pressure moves east over to the Atlantic.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 234 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

Dispersions will be elevated today with breezy conditions behind
a cold front. Min RH values will drop into the low to mid 30s
across the area this afternoon. Dispersions will decrease over the
weekend as winds become light, but the dry airmass will linger.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 234 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024

Little to no rainfall is expected over the next few days into the
start of next week. There are no flooding concerns at this time.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   60  38  64  40 /   0   0   0   0
Panama City   63  41  66  45 /   0   0   0   0
Dothan        58  35  63  37 /   0   0   0   0
Albany        57  35  63  37 /   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      59  37  63  38 /   0   0   0   0
Cross City    64  35  65  40 /   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  62  42  64  49 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ this evening for
     FLZ108-112-114.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST /noon CST/ this afternoon
     for GMZ730-750-752-755-765-770-772-775.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...Montgomery
LONG TERM....Montgomery
AVIATION...DVD
MARINE...Montgomery
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...Montgomery