174
FXUS62 KTAE 090024
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
824 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

...New UPDATE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 823 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

 - Cooler temperatures are on the way in the wake of Thursday`s
   cold front

 - Hazardous marine conditions expected Thursday into the weekend

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 823 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Other than adjusting POPs to better match the latest radar trends,
no significant updates were made to the forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM & LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 131 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

A few showers and storms may still be possible across the far
east/southeastern portions of the area on Friday depending on how
far south the front is able to get before slowing down. In general
though, cooler and much drier conditions are expected for the rest
of the week and into the weekend. Friday is forecast to have the
coolest high temperatures, ranging from the mid 70s to near 80
before gradually beginning to warm again through the rest of the
period. The coolest low temperatures are forecast to arrive
Saturday night into Sunday night once additional dry air has
filtered in and cloud cover moves out. Lows both Saturday night
and Sunday night are forecast in the 50s (!!!). Both lows and
highs will begin a gradual warming trend heading into early next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 716 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Light scattered showers may continue to affect areas around the
DHN and ECP terminals through the rest of this evening. Low cigs
are expected to develop around the VLD terminal with potentially
LIFR levels around daybreak. A cold front will be passing through
the region Thursday, bringing chances for isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms for all terminals except DHN from mid-
morning through the evening hours from the northeast to southwest.
All terminals can expect gusty winds from the northeast around 20
kts during the afternoon, continuing into the evening. Ceilings
will be adjusting up and down from VFR to MVFR throughout the
afternoon into the end of the TAF period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 131 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

East to northeast winds are forecast to increase to advisory
levels late Thursday into Thursday night in the wake of a cold
front with some gusts to gale force also possible. These breezy
conditions will cause seas to increase as well, especially
offshore, and generally last into the weekend. Conditions are
forecast to gradually improve late weekend into early next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 131 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Mainly dry conditions are expected through the end of the week with
chances for wetting rains remaining low to near-zero. The only
chance for rain will be isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms across southeast Alabama this afternoon and again on
Thursday across our Georgia and Florida counties ahead of an
approaching cold front. As the frontal system moves through Thursday
afternoon, expect breezy northeast winds to develop. Breezy
northeasterly winds are expected to continue into the weekend and
may create some elevated fire weather concerns, although relative
humidities are forecast to remain above critical thresholds.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 103 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Isolated to scattered showers are possible this afternoon and
again on Thursday but rainfall amounts are not forecast to be
significant enough to cause any issues and drought conditions will
persist.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   72  84  63  76 /  20  30  10  10
Panama City   72  87  63  80 /  10  20  10   0
Dothan        69  81  59  76 /  20  10  10   0
Albany        69  78  58  74 /  20  20  10  10
Valdosta      70  80  60  75 /  20  30  20  20
Cross City    70  86  65  78 /  20  30  10  20
Apalachicola  73  83  64  79 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 2 AM EDT /1 AM CDT/ Thursday for
     FLZ114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Merrifield
LONG TERM....Merrifield
AVIATION...Montgomery
MARINE...Merrifield
FIRE WEATHER...Merrifield
HYDROLOGY...Dobbs