611
FXUS62 KTAE 081756
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
156 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 131 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

 - Cooler temperatures are on the way in the wake of Thursday`s
   cold front

 - Hazardous marine conditions expected Thursday into the weekend

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Thursday)
Issued at 131 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

A shortwave dropping southeastward across the Southeast CONUS will
help push a cold front through the area on Thursday. A few showers
and storms will be possible ahead of the front, although
significant or drought-busting rainfall is not expected. Breezy
northeasterly winds are expected on Thursday in the wake of the
front, with cooler and drier air ushering in overhead. Forecast
high temperatures on Thursday may be a bit tricky given the
uncertainty with the frontal timing and any lingering cloud cover,
particularly across northern portions of the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM & LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 131 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

A few showers and storms may still be possible across the far
east/southeastern portions of the area on Friday depending on how
far south the front is able to get before slowing down. In general
though, cooler and much drier conditions are expected for the rest
of the week and into the weekend. Friday is forecast to have the
coolest high temperatures, ranging from the mid 70s to near 80
before gradually beginning to warm again through the rest of the
period. The coolest low temperatures are forecast to arrive
Saturday night into Sunday night once additional dry air has
filtered in and cloud cover moves out. Lows both Saturday night
and Sunday night are forecast in the 50s (!!!). Both lows and
highs will begin a gradual warming trend heading into early next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 131 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Generally VFR conditions are expected through the period. There is
a low chance (~20%) of showers and storms near most sites between
this afternoon and tomorrow as a cold front pushes through. Breezy
northeast winds are expected tomorrow in the wake of the front.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 131 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

East to northeast winds are forecast to increase to advisory
levels late Thursday into Thursday night in the wake of a cold
front with some gusts to gale force also possible. These breezy
conditions will cause seas to increase as well, especially
offshore, and generally last into the weekend. Conditions are
forecast to gradually improve late weekend into early next week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 131 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Mainly dry conditions are expected through the end of the week with
chances for wetting rains remaining low to near-zero. The only
chance for rain will be isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms across southeast Alabama this afternoon and again on
Thursday across our Georgia and Florida counties ahead of an
approaching cold front. As the frontal system moves through Thursday
afternoon, expect breezy northeast winds to develop. Breezy
northeasterly winds are expected to continue into the weekend and
may create some elevated fire weather concerns, although relative
humidities are forecast to remain above critical thresholds.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 103 AM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Isolated to scattered showers are possible this afternoon and
again on Thursday but rainfall amounts are not forecast to be
significant enough to cause any issues and drought conditions will
persist.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   72  84  63  76 /  20  30  10  10
Panama City   72  87  63  80 /  10  20  10   0
Dothan        69  81  59  76 /  20  10  10   0
Albany        69  78  58  74 /  20  20  10  10
Valdosta      70  80  60  75 /  20  30  20  20
Cross City    70  86  65  78 /  20  30  10  20
Apalachicola  73  83  64  79 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Merrifield
SHORT TERM...Merrifield
LONG TERM....Merrifield
AVIATION...Merrifield
MARINE...Merrifield
FIRE WEATHER...Merrifield
HYDROLOGY...Dobbs