774
FXUS62 KTAE 071900
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
300 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Tuesday)
Issued at 229 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Showers and thunderstorms associated with the cold front and upper
trough will exit the area this evening as the leading shortwave
axis cross the region. This will usher in a much cooler and drier
airmass with temperatures dropping into the 40s and 50s by
morning. Expect high temperatures to reach the seasonably cool
lower 70s Tuesday afternoon.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 229 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

High pressure will build over the eastern seaboard by mid-week
keeping the weather dry and seasonably cool. The coolest morning
will likely be Wednesday morning, with lows in the 40s across the
forecast area. Highs on Wednesday will rebound into the rather
pleasant mid to upper 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 229 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Another deep trough is forecast to dig into the eastern states
late in the week, helping to usher in a reinforcing shot of cooler
air. There will be a brief warm-up ahead of the associated cold
front on Thursday into Friday, but little in the way of moisture
return. Thus, not expecting a significant QPF or severe event this
time around. However, will see temperatures pushed back to
slightly below normal levels for the weekend with highs in the
lower 70s and lows in the 40s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 136 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

A line of TSRA/+TSRA is continuing to push east and out of the
forecast area this afternoon and evening. IFR/LIFR conditions and
strong gusty winds should be expected near this line, with
conditions generally becoming MVFR/IFR behind it. Gusty northerly
winds are then expected with conditions becoming VFR late in the
period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 229 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Northwest flow behind the cold front will remain near exercise
caution levels through Tuesday before diminishing by Wednesday.
Lower winds and seas will then continue through the middle of the
week before increasing again in the wake of the next cold front on
Friday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 229 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

A much drier and cooler airmass will move into the region for the
next few days. Will se RH values drop into the 30s Tuesday
afternoon with some mid to upper 20s possible Wednesday afternoon.
Winds will stay rather light both days, keeping conditions below
Red Flag criteria. Moisture will begin to recover by Thursday and
Friday ahead of the next cold front.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 229 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

General rainfall amounts of 1" to 2.5" have fallen with the
passing frontal boundary. Isolated higher amounts over 3" were
located across SE Alabama and the eastern Panhandle. These amounts
will lead to modest rises in area rivers and streams, but
significant flooding is not anticipated. Routed flow from the
Chattahoochee into the Apalachicola will end up pushing
Blountstown into minor flood stage.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested. Spotters should safely report
significant weather conditions and/or damage by calling the
office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   50  71  48  74 /  40   0   0   0
Panama City   51  72  50  72 /  10   0   0   0
Dothan        45  70  42  71 /   0   0   0   0
Albany        46  70  43  72 /  10   0   0   0
Valdosta      50  72  48  76 /  60   0   0   0
Cross City    52  73  49  77 /  80   0   0   0
Apalachicola  51  71  53  70 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late Tuesday night for FLZ108-112-
     114-115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...High Rip Current Risk through late Tuesday night for GMZ735.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Camp
SHORT TERM...Camp
LONG TERM....Camp
AVIATION...Humphreys
MARINE...Camp
FIRE WEATHER...Camp
HYDROLOGY...Camp