815
FNUS76 KSTO 130433
FWSSTO

Spot Forecast for Skyline...USFS
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
833 PM PST Wed Nov 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 PST on November 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Rain will continue to increase in coverage and intensity overnight
and through Thursday. Southerly winds in the slope/valley will
range from 10-20mph, with gusts approaching up to 35mph. Strong
southerly winds at the ridgetop. Rain will continue Thursday night
and Friday, with a gradual diminish in coverage and intensity
throughout Friday. Clearing conditions by the evening hours
Friday. Total amounts of 2.5 to 3.5 inches of new rainfall when
all said and done Friday. Chances for more widespread
precipitation early next week.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers through the day. Slight
                    chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....50-54.
Min humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 17 mph with gusts to around 33
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........South 16 to 21 mph.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 21 mph.
CWR.................99 percent decreasing to 50 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...17 percent.

TIME (PST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 50  50
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20
Temp............51  52  51  52  52  52  52  52  52  52  52  52
RH..............100 99  99  99  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
SL/VL wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
SL/VL wind spd..16  16  16  16  17  17  17  13  13  13  10  10
SL/VL wind gust.31  33  33  33  31  31  31  26  26  26  23  23
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..31  33  33  33  31  31  31  26  26  26  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  18  18  18  21  21  21  18  18  18  16  16

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers
                    likely overnight.
Min temperature.....45-49.
Max humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
 Ridgetop...........South 7 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 16 mph.
CWR.................50 percent decreasing to 22 percent in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Chance of thunder...17 percent.

TIME (PST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC
CWR.............50  50  50  50  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20
Chc of thdr (%).20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............52  52  51  51  51  50  50  49  49  49  49  48
RH..............100 99  100 99  98  98  99  100 100 99  99  99
SL/VL wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
SL/VL wind spd..10  13  13  13  8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6
SL/VL wind gust.23  22  22  22  15  15  15  12  12  12  10  10
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..23  22  22  22  15  15  15  12  12  12  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  14  14  14  12  12  12  10  10  10  7   7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny.
                    Chance of rain showers early in the morning,
                    then slight chance of rain showers in the late
                    morning and early afternoon.
Max temperature.....53-57.
Min humidity........79-83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds up to 6 mph in the morning becoming
                    light.
 Ridgetop...........Southeast around 7 mph shifting to the north 6
                    to 7 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 7 mph shifting to the southeast
                    early in the morning, then shifting to the
                    north 6 to 7 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
CWR.................22 percent decreasing to 5 percent in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

TIME (PST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
CWR.............20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0
Chc of thdr (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............48  47  47  47  48  49  51  53  54  54  53  52
RH..............100 100 100 100 98  94  88  84  82  82  83  86
SL/VL wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  N   N
SL/VL wind spd..6   6   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2
SL/VL wind gust.10  9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8   6   6
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..6   6   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 2.3 2.3 2.3 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  SE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6

$$
Forecaster...JS
Requested by...Jon Howry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525685.0/STO
.DELDT 11/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jonathon.howry@usda.gov