


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA
011 FXUS66 KSTO 131948 AFDSTO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Sacramento CA 1248 PM PDT Wed Aug 13 2025 .DISCUSSION... .SYNOPSIS... Outside of warmer weather on Friday, near to below normal temperatures expected for most of the next several days with mainly Minor HeatRisk. Periodically breezy onshore flow will assist with cooling and higher relative humidity. Slight chance of thunderstorms mainly over Shasta County vicinity this weekend, otherwise dry conditions prevail. && .KEY MESSAGES... *Today: - Cooler today with high temperatures in the 80s to 90s as upper level ridge weakens - Increased onshore flow will bring gusts of 15-25 mph later this afternoon and evening in the Delta vicinity which will bring additional cooling overnight *Thursday-Friday: - Slight warming trend Thursday and Friday with dry conditions - Afternoon highs the 90s to near 100 later this week for much of the Valley and foothills - Widespread Minor HeatRisk with localized Moderate HeatRisk *Weekend: - Cooldown to near to below average temperatures over the weekend with rising relative humidity - Periodically breezy onshore flow is forecast at times, strongest in the Delta vicinity and over the Sierra Crest - 15-25% chance of isolated thunderstorms in Shasta County (includes northern Sacramento Valley), northern Coast Range, and southern Cascades, dry weather elsewhere *Early to Mid Next Week: - Below normal temperatures on Monday will gradually warm through next week as high pressure is favored to build back in over the Western US, centered over the Four Corners region .Changes from previous forecast... - Slight increase in thunderstorm potential for this weekend over Shasta County vicinity && .AVIATION... VFR conditions will continue for the next 24 hours across interior NorCal. Surface winds generally below 12 knots, except from around 21z today through 13z Thursday, where west-southwest gusts up to 30 knots are possible at southern/central Sacramento Valley and Delta sites. Southerly surface gusts up to 25 knots in the northern Sacramento Valley from around 20z until 06z Thursday. && .STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$