Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA
541 FXUS66 KSTO 022005 AFDSTO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Sacramento CA 105 PM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025 .DISCUSSION... .SYNOPSIS... 20-30% chance for mountain thunderstorms through early this evening. Lightning on dry fuels may lead to easier fire starts. Onshore flow developing late week and will bring cooler and quieter conditions with locally breezy winds. Slow warming trend over the weekend into next week. && .KEY MESSAGES... * Wednesday: - Slight (10-30%) probability of thunderstorms through early Wednesday evening across the mountains of interior NorCal - Highest thunderstorm probabilities over the Sierra crest - Lightning on dry fuels may lead to easier fire starts - Continued warm with above normal temperatures and moderate HeatRisk * Late Next Week and Weekend: - Quiet weather late week into the weekended - Onshore winds will cool temperatures to seasonal norms to slightly below average - Coolest day will be Friday - Winds will be locally breezy at times Thursday and Friday, strongest through the Delta and over the higher elevations - Slow warming over the weekend into early next week, continued dry .Changes from previous forecast... - Added the mention of locally breezy onshore winds mainly through the Delta and over the higher elevations && .AVIATION... Mainly VFR conditions over interior NorCal next 24 hours. Brief potential for MVFR/IFR in isolated showers and t-storms in the northern Sacramento Valley and mountains through around 06z Thursday. Surface winds generally below 15 knots, with gusts up to 20 knots in any t-storm that develops. Breezy onshore flow in Delta vicinity with gusts up to 25 knots possible. && .STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$