468
FXUS23 KWNC 181902
PMDSST
Tropical Pacific mean sea surface temperature/SST/ outlook
NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD
300 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2024

Mean temperature anomaly SST outlooks are in tenth of a degree
Celsius for the Nino 3.4 area of the tropical Pacific /5N-5S
120W-170W/.  Anomalies are from 1991-2020 Nino 3.4 climatology
SST /CLIM/.

Three month outlook periods
eg. JFM is January through March - FMA for FEB. through APR.
See notes below on types of outlooks

TYPE   NDJ  DJF  JFM  FMA  MAM  AMJ  MJJ  JJA  JAS  ASO  SON  OND  NDJ
CONS  -0.4 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2  0.0  0.0 -0.0 -0.1 -0.4 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3
U68    0.1  0.0  0.1  0.2  0.3  0.5  0.5  0.6  0.6  0.6  0.7  0.8  0.9
L68   -0.9 -1.0 -0.9 -0.8 -0.7 -0.5 -0.5 -0.6 -0.9 -1.3 -1.4 -1.5 -1.5
U95    0.3  0.3  0.4  0.5  0.6  0.8  0.8  1.0  1.1  1.1  1.4  1.6  1.7
L95   -1.2 -1.3 -1.3 -1.1 -1.0 -0.7 -0.8 -1.0 -1.3 -1.8 -2.0 -2.2 -2.2
CCA   -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4 -0.6 -0.7 -0.9 -1.1 -1.2 -1.2
CA    -0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.5 -0.6 -0.6 -0.6
CFS   -0.9 -0.8 -0.4 -0.1  0.2  0.3

CLM   26.6 26.7 26.9 27.3 27.7 27.8 27.7 27.3 27.0 26.8 26.7 26.7 26.6


CONS - Official consolidated outlook
U68  - The upper limit of the 68 percent confidence interval forecast
L68  - The lower limit of the 68 percent confidence interval forecast
U95  - The upper limit of the 95 percent confidence interval forecast
L95  - THE lower limit of the 95 percent confidence interval forecast
CCA  - Canonical correlation analysis outlook
CA   - Constructed analog outlook
CFS  - NCEP CFS version 2 dynamic model outlook
CLM  - Climatological mean Nino 3.4 SST
This product is available in a graphical format on the internet
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov

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