Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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440 FXUS23 KWNC 222002 PMDSST Tropical Pacific mean sea surface temperature/SST/ outlook NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD 300 PM EST FRI NOV 15 2024 Mean temperature anomaly SST outlooks are in tenth of a degree Celsius for the Nino 3.4 area of the tropical Pacific /5N-5S 120W-170W/. Anomalies are from 1991-2020 Nino 3.4 climatology SST /CLIM/. Three month outlook periods eg. JFM is January through March - FMA for FEB. through APR. See notes below on types of outlooks TYPE DJF JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA JAS ASO SON OND NDJ DJF CONS -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.0 -0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 U68 -0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 L68 -1.1 -0.9 -0.8 -0.6 -0.5 -0.5 -0.7 -0.9 -1.1 -1.4 -1.5 -1.5 -1.5 U95 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.6 L95 -1.5 -1.3 -1.1 -0.9 -0.8 -0.8 -1.0 -1.3 -1.7 -2.0 -2.2 -2.3 -2.2 CCA -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.6 -0.7 -0.9 -1.0 -1.0 -0.9 CA -0.4 -0.5 -0.4 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 -0.4 -0.6 -0.7 -0.8 -0.8 -0.8 CFS -1.0 -0.7 -0.4 -0.1 -0.1 -0.0 CLM 26.7 26.9 27.3 27.7 27.8 27.7 27.3 27.0 26.8 26.7 26.7 26.6 26.7 CONS - Official consolidated outlook U68 - The upper limit of the 68 percent confidence interval forecast L68 - The lower limit of the 68 percent confidence interval forecast U95 - The upper limit of the 95 percent confidence interval forecast L95 - THE lower limit of the 95 percent confidence interval forecast CCA - Canonical correlation analysis outlook CA - Constructed analog outlook CFS - NCEP CFS version 2 dynamic model outlook CLM - Climatological mean Nino 3.4 SST This product is available in a graphical format on the internet http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov $$