390
FXUS01 KWBC 010802
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
401 AM EDT Fri Aug 01 2025

Valid 12Z Fri Aug 01 2025 - 12Z Sun Aug 03 2025

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the
Northern Plains, Southern High Plains, Southern Plains, and
southern Mid-Atlantic, on Friday, and Central/Southern High Plains
and the Southeast on Saturday...

...There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of
the Northern/Central High Plains on Friday and over the Central
High Plains on Saturday...

...There Heat Advisories Over parts of the Gulf Coast States and
Southeast on Friday...

A front extending from the southern Mid-Atlantic southwestward to
the Southern Plains will move southward to northern Florida
westward across the Gulf Coast and then northwestward across Texas
to the Southern High Plains by Sunday. The front will trigger
showers and thunderstorms, accompanied by heavy rain, over parts
of the southern Mid-Atlantic. Therefore, the WPC has issued a
Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the
southern Mid-Atlantic through Saturday morning. The associated
heavy rain will primarily create localized areas of flash
flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying
areas being the most vulnerable.

Additionally, showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain will
develop along and near the boundary over parts of the Southern
Plains and Southern High Plains. Therefore, the WPC has issued a
Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over two areas of
the Southern Plains and Southern High Plains through Saturday
morning. The associated heavy rain will primarily create localized
areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams,
and low-lying areas being the most vulnerable.

Moreover, upper-level energy and a steady stream of moisture will
produce showers and severe thunderstorms over parts of the
Northern/Central High Plains. Therefore, the SPC has issued a
Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts of the
Northern/Central High Plains through Saturday morning.  The
hazards associated with these thunderstorms include frequent
lightning, severe thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and occasional
tornadoes.

Furthermore, an area of heavy rain is expected to develop over
parts of the Northern Plains from the showers and thunderstorms.
Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of
excessive rainfall over parts of the Northern Plains through
Saturday morning. The associated heavy rain will primarily create
localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small
streams, and low-lying areas being the most vulnerable.

On Saturday, showers and severe thunderstorms will develop along
the front over parts of the Central High Plains. Therefore, the
SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms
over parts of the Central High Plains from Saturday through Sunday
morning.  The hazards associated with these thunderstorms include
frequent lightning, severe thunderstorm wind gusts, hail, and
occasional tornadoes.

Additionally, on Saturday, moisture and upper-level energy will
produce showers and thunderstorms, accompanied by heavy rain, over
parts of the Central/Southern High Plains. Therefore, the WPC has
issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall with these
thunderstorms over parts of the Central/Southern High Plains from
Saturday through Sunday morning. The associated heavy rain will
primarily create localized areas of flash flooding, with urban
areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas being the most
vulnerable.

Furthermore, on Saturday, as the eastern part of the front settles
over parts of the Southeast, showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop, bringing heavy rain to parts of the
Southeast. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4)
of excessive rainfall with these thunderstorms over parts of the
Southeast from Saturday into Sunday morning. The associated heavy
rain will primarily create localized areas of flash flooding, with
urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas being the
most vulnerable.

Moreover, an upper-level high over Florida will aid in producing
dangerous high temperatures, accompanied by high humidity over
parts of the Gulf Coast States and the Southeast. Heat Advisories
are over these regions on Friday. An extended period of extreme
heat and minimal nighttime relief can lead to cumulative heat
stress on the body. As temperatures rise, plan to limit outdoor
activities, stay hydrated, and ensure access to air conditioning
and other cooling areas. Additionally, be sure to check on
vulnerable family members, friends, and neighbors.

Furthermore, smoke from wildfires in Canada has prompted Air
Quality Alerts over the Upper Great Lakes, Upper Mississippi
Valley, and parts of the Middle Mississippi Valley on Friday.


Ziegenfelder


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php
$$