485
FXUS01 KWBC 011936
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
336 PM EDT Mon Jun 01 2026

Valid 00Z Tue Jun 02 2026 - 00Z Thu Jun 04 2026

...Showers and thunderstorms continue across the Northern Rockies
into the Plains and the Southwest over the next few days...

...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over
parts of the Plains on Monday and Tuesday...

...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over
parts of New Mexico and western Texas on Tuesday into Wednesday...
...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over
parts of the Northern Plains, and Southern High Plains on
Tuesday...

...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over
parts of the Central High Plains, Middle/Lower Mississippi and
Tennessee Valleys on Monday...

...There is a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over
parts of the Northern/Central Plains on Tuesday...

A quasi-stationary front extending from the Southeast, Middle
Mississippi Valley, and into the Central Rockies will trigger
showers and thunderstorms over the Southeast to the Lower
Mississippi Valley, and the Plains through Wednesday. Moreover,
low pressure over West Central Canada will create rain over parts
of the Northern High Plains through Wednesday.

On Monday, some of the showers and thunderstorms will become
severe over the Central High Plains/Central Plains. Therefore, the
SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms
over parts of the Central High Plains/Central Plains through
Tuesday morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms
include frequent lightning, severe wind gusts, hail, and the
threat of tornadoes.

In addition, a second area of showers and severe thunderstorms
will develop over parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley, Tennessee
Valley, and Southeast.  Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight
Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts of the Lower
Mississippi Valley, Tennessee Valley, and Southeast through
Tuesday morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms
include frequent lightning, severe wind gusts, hail, and the
threat of tornadoes.

Moreover, showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain will develop
over parts of the Northern Plains and the Southern High Plains on
Tuesday. Therefore, the WPC issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of
excessive rainfall over parts of the Northern Plains and a second
area over the Southern High Plains through Wednesday morning. The
associated heavy rain will cause mainly localized flash flooding,
with urban areas, roads, small streams, and low-lying areas being
the most vulnerable.

Furthermore, showers and severe thunderstorms will develop over
parts of the Northern/Central Plains on Tuesday. Therefore, the
SPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms
over parts of the Northern/Central Plains from Tuesday through
Wednesday morning. The hazards associated with these thunderstorms
include frequent lightning, severe wind gusts, hail, and the
threat of tornadoes.

On Wednesday, showers and thunderstorms will produce heavy rain
over parts of the Southern High Plains. Therefore, the WPC has
issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts
of the Southern High Plains on Wednesday. The associated heavy
rain will cause mainly localized flash flooding, with urban areas,
roads, small streams, and low-lying areas being the most
vulnerable.

In addition, showers and severe thunderstorms will develop over
parts of the Northern Plains on Wednesday. Therefore, the SPC has
issued a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over
parts of the Northern Plains on Wednesday. The hazards associated
with these thunderstorms include frequent lightning, severe wind
gusts, hail, and the threat of tornadoes.

Lastly, upper-level energy moving onshore over the Pacific
Northwest will trigger rain over parts of the Northwest and
showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Northern Intermountain
Region on Wednesday.


Ziegenfelder


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php




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