Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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315 FXUS01 KWBC 220800 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 259 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2024 Valid 12Z Fri Nov 22 2024 - 12Z Sun Nov 24 2024 ...Atmospheric river will produce one last round of heavy rain/mountain snow and strong wind gusts across the Pacific Northwest today... ...Moderate to heavy snow for portions of the Central Appalachians today... ...Above average temperatures expand across the Central U.S. this weekend... Anomalous moisture supported by a deep low pressure system will continue impacting the Pacific Northwest today. Life threatening flooding is likely across portions of northern California, where additional amounts of 3-5" are expected, mainly over coastal areas. As much as 4-10" of rain are possible for the northern Sierra Nevada. Dangerous flooding, rock slides and debris flows remain likely today. A Moderate Risk of Flash Flooding is in effect for upslope portions of the northern Sierra below 5000`. The flooding risk will decrease from north to south by later today and into tonight. Heavy mountain snow is expected over the Washington Cascades and Northern Rockies through Saturday. Multiple feet of snow are likely to accumulate over portions of the northern Sierra (above 7000`) by Saturday evening. Strong winds will continue across coastal areas of northwest California into western Washington, and over south-central Oregon. These winds may blow down trees and power lines, and additional power outages are possible. A deep upper low will pivot over the Northeast and reinforce a cooler airmass along with a relatively shallow bit of moisture into the region today. Some rain and snow showers are expected across much of the Northeast/northern Mid-Atlantic as a result. Heavier snow will likely remain confined to the higher terrain of the Central Appalachians, where between 6-12 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible. Snow chances diminish as the day progresses and temperatures rise. Upper ridging over the Intermountain West and Rockies will shift eastward into the Central U.S. this weekend where above average temperatures are likely to follow. Kebede Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$