866
FNUS75 KSLC 231643
FWSSLC

Spot Forecast for Buckley Draw...USFS
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
1043 AM MDT Sat Aug 23 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Moisture will continue to increase through the weekend,
and enough moisture will be in place by Sunday to promote the development
of numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms. The greatest amount of
uncertainty revolves around the amount of cloud cover. A scenario with
lots of cloud cover will keep temperatures lower, and reduce the amount that the
atmosphere is able to become unstable, thus lowering the risk for heavy
rainfall. In this scenario, showers are favored over stronger, organized
thunderstorms. However, more sunshine in the morning and early afternoon hours
will lead to an environment that more strongly favors organized shower and
thunderstorm activity with a higher potential for localized heavy rainfall.
Given the anticipated spotty nature of shower and thunderstorm activity,
rainfall amounts will vary greatly over short distances. Therefore, rainfall
amounts could range from only a trace or few hundredths of an inch up to 0.25"
of rain on the high end.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent cloud cover).
                    Numerous showers with isolated thunderstorms in
                    the morning and scattered thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of lightning.42 percent.
Max temperature.....84-86.
Min humidity........33-35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley winds 6-12 mph becoming upslope/upvalley
                    winds 4-10 mph between 1000-1100. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near showers and thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL.
   Climatology......50-60th Percentile.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph becoming west around 8
                    mph in the afternoon.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent cloud cover).
                    Scattered thunderstorms with numerous showers
                    in the evening, then numerous showers with
                    isolated thunderstorms after about 3AM.
CWR.................40 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of lightning.42 percent.
Min temperature.....61-63.
Max humidity........70-72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Upslope/upvalley winds 4-10 mph becoming downslope/
                    downvalley winds 4-10 mph around sunset. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near showers and thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 8 mph becoming northeast around 12
                    mph overnight.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent cloud cover).
                    Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms
                    through the day.
CWR.................45 percent.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Chance of lightning.52 percent.
Max temperature.....80-82.
Min humidity........40-42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley winds 4-10 mph becoming upslope/
                    upvalley winds 3-10 mph between 1000-1100. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near showers and thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL.
   Climatology......50-60th Percentile.
Transport winds.....East around 8 mph becoming west around 12 mph
                    in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...ADeSmet
Requested by...Sierra Sampson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520507.0/SLC
.DELDT 08/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sierra.sampson@usda.gov