049
FNUS75 KSLC 202359
FWSSLC

Spot Forecast for Meeks Fire...State
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
559 PM MDT Mon Jul 20 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MDT on July 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...An active monsoon pattern will continue, especially
through the middle of the week. After a 10% chance of nocturnal
showers and thunderstorms Monday night into early Tuesday, Tuesday
look to once again become active. Depending on the evolution of
the nocturnal activity, anticipate widespread scattered showers
and thunderstorms to develop late morning on through the afternoon
hours, bringing potential for periods of heavy rain, lightning,
gusty erratic outflow winds, and small hail. Coverage is favored
to be highest from mid afternoon on into the evening, with better
chances of nocturnal activity lingering on into the night.
Wednesday will more or less see a similar evolution to Tuesday as
deep moisture remains placed over the area, and widespread
scattered showers and thunderstorms are once again expected.
Wetting rain chances will be highest through Wednesday, with
models favoring some slightly drier air returning Thursday onward.
That said, models do still keep sufficient moisture for
maintained precipitation chances, even with the slightly drier
airmass. Outside of influence from precipitation, winds will tend
to be fairly light and diurnally terrain driven, with down-terrain
more favored overnight, and up-terrain during the day.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent cloud cover) then
                    becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent cloud
                    cover). Chance of showers early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon. Showers likely late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................40 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of lightning.50 percent.
Max temperature.....82-86.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light northwest to down-terrain winds 3-7 mph
in the morning, shifting southeast to
up-terrain late morning into the afternoon.
Magnitudes increase to 7-15 mph with gusts to
20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7400 ft AGL (50-60th Percentile).
Transport winds.....West 7 to 13 mph.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent cloud cover). Rain
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
                    the evening, then rain showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................45 percent.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Chance of lightning.35 percent.
Min temperature.....55-58.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds favored to shift northwest to
down-terrain 5-10 mph late evening through
the overnight. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms from the evening
through the overnight.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 13 mph becoming east around 9
                    mph overnight.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent cloud cover) then
                    becoming mostly cloudy (85-95 percent cloud
                    cover). Slight chance of rain showers in the
                    morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms late in
                    the morning, then rain showers with
                    thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
CWR.................75 percent.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Chance of lightning.60 percent.
Max temperature.....77-81.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light down-terrain winds 3-7 mph shifting
east-southeast to up-terrain late morning
through the afternoon 5-10 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL (40-50th Percentile).
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Warthen
Requested by...IC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617837.0/SLC
.DELDT 07/20/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mas.glover@icloud.com