Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Salt Lake City, UT

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744
FNUS75 KSLC 151640
FWSSLC

Spot Forecast for South Canyon Ponderosa RX...BLM
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
940 AM MST Sat Nov 15 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0931 MST on November 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry and mild conditions will exist at the burn site
today ahead of an incoming system. Increasing moisture will raise
daytime RH and increase cloud cover as well. Rain may begin as
early as this evening, with rain increasing overnight and continuing
through the day Sunday. As colder air moves into the region rain may
change over to snow Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. Any snow
accumulation will be minimal, but water totals around 0.50 inches
are expected through Sunday evening.

The pattern remains quite unsettled through at least the first half
of next week, with another storm system expected to move into the
region late Monday through Tuesday. This system will be similar to
the weekend storm, with water totals around 0.50 inches likely,
and although precip may change over to snow at times, any snow
accumulation again looks minimal. Beyond that, another potentially
colder system looks on tap for later in the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent cloud cover).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......5 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........30-34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 3-9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    during the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL (30-40th Percentile).
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Clearing index......770.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-90 percent cloud cover). A
                    chance of rain in the evening, then periods
                    of rain with a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after midnight.
CWR.................35 percent.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Min temperature.....35-38.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southeast 6-10 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent cloud cover). Periods
                    of rain, mixing with or changing over to
                    snow later in the afternoon. A slight chance
                    of thunderstorms through the day.
CWR.................85 percent.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Max temperature.....45-47.
Min humidity........78-80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South 8-12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph
                    becoming late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL (20-30th Percentile).
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph.
Clearing index......1000+.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy with a 50% chance of rain and snow. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. South to southwest winds
5-10 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with a 70% chance of rain and snow. Lows in the
mid 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. South winds 5-10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of rain and snow. Lows in the
lower 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. South winds 5-10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Seaman
Requested by...Zachary Kunz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525519.1/SLC
.DELDT 11/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL zkunz@blm.gov