Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS San Juan, PR

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FNCA52 TJSJ 151930
FWFSJU

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Puerto Rico
National Weather Service San Juan PR
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF
 PUERTO RICO...

.DISCUSSION...
Elevated fire danger continues today as minimum relative
humidities remain around mid 40s to low 50s, particularly across
the coastal plains and hills of southern Puerto Rico and Vieques.
That combined with breezy to windy conditions are elevating the
risk of fire spread. A Fire Danger Statement remains in effect
across portions of Puerto Rico, Culebra, and the U.S. Virgin
Islands until 5 PM AST this afternoon, while a Red Flag Warning
was issued for the coastal plains and hills of southern Puerto
Rico and Vieques.

The northern periphery of an approaching tropical wave should
continue to approach, slightly increasing the moisture content
across the area. Nonetheless, the dry conditions will persist
until then.


PRZ014-160800-
Southeast Coastal Plains-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON...

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           30           0            10
Temp (24h trend)      75 (-3)      89 (-2)      75           92
RH % (24h trend)      94 (+9)      59 (+3)      91           52
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 16         E 16 G23     E 14         E 17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 12         E 17 G26     NE 11        E 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4770                      4920
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 20                      E 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  81090                     68880
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   5            6            4            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ015-160800-
Southern Hills-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON...

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           30           0            10
Temp (24h trend)      71 (-4)      89 (+2)      71           90
RH % (24h trend)      99 (+8)      62 (+1)      97           57
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 18        E 16         E 13         E 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 16         E 16         NE 13        E 13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5700                      5320
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 18                      E 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  91200                     69160
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   4            6            3            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ016-160800-
North Coastal Plains-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers      Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     60           50           10           30
Temp (24h trend)      75 (-3)      89 (-1)      74           91
RH % (24h trend)      99 (+7)      65 (-2)      96           59
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 24         E 18         E 21         E 16
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 18         E 23         E 13         E 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4750                      5010
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 21                      E 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  85500                     70140
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   6            6            6            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ017-160800-
Northern Hills-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers      Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     40           50           10           50
Temp (24h trend)      72 (-3)      89 (+1)      72           90
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+3)     65 (0)       99           60
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 21         E 17         E 19         E 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 16         NE 20        E 11         NE 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5680                      5900
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 17                      E 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  85200                     59000
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   6            6            4            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ018-160800-
West Coast-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Showers      Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     10           60           10           40
Temp (24h trend)      74 (-2)      89 (-3)      72           93
RH % (24h trend)      96 (+5)      68 (+7)      98           57
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 26         E 19         E 17         E 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 20         E 18         E 16         SE 13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4990                      5080
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 14                      E  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  59880                     35560
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   5            6            4            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ019-160800-
Eastern Interior-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           50           10           20
Temp (24h trend)      72 (-5)      89 (+1)      73           90
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+7)     63 (-3)      98           59
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 18         E 17         E 14         E 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 17         E 14         E 14         E 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5210                      5530
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 18                      E 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  83360                     77420
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   5            6            4            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ022-160800-
Luquillo Mountain Range-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           50           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      70 (-4)      85 (+3)      71           86
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+4)     68 (-7)      100          66
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 16         E 13         E 12         E 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 13         E 13         E 12         E 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4620                      4770
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 20                      E 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  78540                     71550
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   6            6            5            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ023-160800-
Central Mountain Range-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Showers      Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     30           50           10           40
Temp (24h trend)      70 (-3)      87 (+3)      68           88
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+4)     67 (0)       100          61
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  NE 21        E 13         E 11         E 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 14         E 13         E 10         E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             7310                      6990
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 13                      E  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  80410                     41940
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   3            6            2            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ024-160800-
Cayey Mountain Range-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           40           10           10
Temp (24h trend)      71 (-3)      85 (+1)      70           86
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+4)     69 (+1)      99           64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 14         E 13         E 12         E 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 12         E 13         E 11         E 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4700                      4870
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 21                      E 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  84600                     77920
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   6            6            3            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ025-160800-
Vieques-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON...

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           40           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      78 (-3)      89 (-1)      80           91
RH % (24h trend)      90 (+8)      59 (-3)      83           56
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 20         E 19         E 18         E 17
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 20         E 17         E 18         E 13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4090                      4080
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 21                      E 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  73620                     69360
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   6            6            6            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ026-160800-
Culebra-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           30           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      78 (-3)      89 (0)       79           91
RH % (24h trend)      93 (+8)      63 (-6)      86           58
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 20         E 19         E 18         E 18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 20         E 17         E 17         E 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4140                      3910
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 21                      E 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  74520                     70380
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   6            6            6            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ027-160800-
Southwest Coastal Plains and Mona Island-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON...

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     10           30           10           10
Temp (24h trend)      75 (-2)      89 (-3)      74           94
RH % (24h trend)      91 (+6)      60 (+5)      93           52
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 21         E 18 G28     E 16 G23     E 18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 17         E 23 G34     E 14         SE 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             5070                      4950
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 18                      E 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  81120                     74250
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   5            6            5            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

VIZ001-160800-
Saint Thomas and Saint John-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           30           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      77 (-4)      88 (+1)      77           89
RH % (24h trend)      92 (+7)      60 (-8)      88           58
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 21         E 19         E 17         E 18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 21         E 17         E 17         E 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4190                      3640
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 21                      E 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  75420                     69160
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   6            6            6            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

VIZ002-160800-
St Croix-
330 PM AST Sat Aug 15 2026

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Clear
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     60           50           20           0
Temp (24h trend)      78 (-3)      89 (+1)      78           90
RH % (24h trend)      96 (+8)      63 (-6)      88           61
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 21         E 19         E 17         E 18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 20         E 18         E 17         E 13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4590                      4960
Transport Wnd (mph)                E 24                      E 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  96390                     79360
Dispersion                         5                         5
DSI                   6            6            6            6
RH Recovery           Excellent                 Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$