Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FNUS74 KSJT 150017
FWSSJT

Spot Forecast for Blanket Creek Ranch Rx Burn...Zephyr Vol Fire Dept
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
617 PM CST Fri Feb 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CST on February 15.
Please contact our office at 325-944-3030 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected Saturday afternoon
as temperatures approaching the 70 degree mark create afternoon
humidity values between 20 and 25 percent. Expect southwest winds
winds 10 to 15 mph by ignition time, then increasing from the
southwest and west by mid to late morning, with gusts to 25 mph
expected through afternoon. Some higher gusts near 30 mph are
possible.

A cold front will move through Saturday evening, with winds
shifting to the north by early evening and remaining gusty Saturday
night.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    west 14 to 18 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......8500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds....Southwest 13 to 22 mph increasing to west 26 to
                   35 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (223000 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).............93     74     33     3      3      4
Weather cov.........
Weather type........None   None   None   None   None   None
Tstm cov............
Temp................51     51     58     68     72     72
RH..................100    100    77     47     30     25
20 FT wind dir......S      SW     SW     W      W      W
20 FT wind spd......9      10     13     17     20     18
20 FT wind gust.....15     17     20     21     25     26
Mix hgt (ft)........600    600    1800   2800   5900   8300
Transport wind......SW 14  SW 15  SW 21  W 26   W 33   W 33

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 27.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 14 mph becoming 13 to 15 mph
                    late in the evening. Gusts up to 26 mph.
Mixing Height.......1200 ft AGL.
Transport Winds....North 22 to 29 mph decreasing to 21 to 23 mph
                   late in the evening.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (29500 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).............2      4      6      4      6      6
Weather cov.........
Weather type........None   None   None   None   None   None
Tstm cov............
Temp................67     53     47     42     36     31
RH..................26     46     56     62     68     73
20 FT wind dir......NW     N      N      N      N      N
20 FT wind spd......14     14     13     12     13     14
20 FT wind gust.....21     22     21     20     20     20
Mix hgt (ft)........1200   1700   1500   1300   1500   1600
Transport wind......NW 22  N 29   N 25   N 22   N 22   N 22

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 9 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in
                    the morning and early afternoon.
Mixing Height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport Winds....North 12 to 21 mph shifting to the northeast
                   around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (26400 knot-ft).

TIME (CST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).............5      3      3      7      6      7
Weather cov.........
Weather type........None   None   None   None   None   None
Tstm cov............
Temp................28     31     35     42     47     48
RH..................75     63     52     41     35     33
20 FT wind dir......N      N      N      N      N      NE
20 FT wind spd......15     15     14     12     11     10
20 FT wind gust.....21     22     21     19     17     14
Mix hgt (ft)........1600   1900   2300   2800   2900   2800
Transport wind......N 21   N 21   N 20   N 17   N 14   N 12

$$
Forecaster...WINGENROTH
Requested by...Colten Tibbitts
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503001.0/SJT
.DELDT 02/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tibbitts7820@yahoo.com