000
FXUS64 KSJT 171104
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
604 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mainly hot and dry today, with only isolated showers and storms
  possible north of a Sterling City to Brownwood line.

- Seasonably hot temperatures are expected tomorrow through next
  week. Isolated to widely scattered storms possible Monday, with
  better rain chances Wednesday through Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 226 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025

The weak tropical disturbance that allowed for a few isolated
showers and storms yesterday will be replaced by broad upper
level ridging today. This will mean generally quiet weather for
our area. Temperatures will continue to be hot, from the mid 90s
to near 100 degrees for highs this afternoon, with southerly winds
from 10 to 20 mph, and mostly sunny skies. There is a chance for
isolated showers and storms this afternoon through tonight, but
mainly north of a Sterling City to Brownwood line. However, high
resolution models continue to show very limited coverage of any
precipitation that develops. Lows will mainly be in the mid to
upper 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 113 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025

An unsettled pattern will be in store for this coming work week,
with rain chances remaining in the forecast through much of the
week and into next weekend. The upper-level high will shift
westward and remain over the four corners region through the
Saturday next week, making way for a series of upper-level
disturbances to traverse the area on the eastern periphery of the
upper-level high. These disturbances along with a continued influx
of tropical moisture from the south to southeast will keep
showers and thunderstorms in the forecast each afternoon and
evening.

Rain chances and potential rain coverage will increase starting
Tuesday as the high gets set up to our west and a front moves
south into the area on Wednesday into Thursday. The main concern
remains the potential for heavy rainfall along the front mid-to-
late next week. Rain chances will decrease slightly after the
front moves through, with the highest chances staying in our
southeastern counties. We`ll get a better idea on potential
locations of the heavier rainfall as we get closer and high res
models become available.

Temperatures will remain near normal for this time of year (in
the 90s) with a slight drop in temperature behind the front
resulting in highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s. We`ll get a better
idea on potential locations of the heavier rainfall as we get
closer and high res models become available.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 604 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025

VFR conditions through the next 24 hours at all sites. Isolated
TSRA may affect areas near KABI, but coverage will not be high
enough to warrant a mention in the TAF. Otherwise, south to
southeast winds with a few gusts between 15 and 20 knots today,
with speeds diminishing to between 5 and 10 knots this evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     98  77  98  76 /  10  10  30  10
San Angelo  97  74  98  73 /  10  10  20  20
Junction    97  71  99  71 /  10  10  20  10
Brownwood   96  74  97  74 /  20  10  30  10
Sweetwater  98  77  99  76 /  20  10  30  10
Ozona       95  73  96  72 /  10  10  20  10
Brady       95  73  95  73 /  10  10  20  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...20