620
FXUS64 KSJT 030702
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
202 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms will
  persist across the area this afternoon and evening.

- Heavy rainfall is possible with the stronger cells, which may
  result in localized flooding.

- Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible
  through Friday, with warm and humid conditions persisting.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 202 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

A "rinse and repeat forecast" appears likely for today and tonight
as there is not much change to the overall synoptic pattern.  The
upper-level system remains in place over northern Mexico and the
desert southwest while remnant moisture from what was Tropical Storm
Barry is surging up through west Texas.  The upper-level system will
start progressing eastward a bit as it merges with the southwest
flow aloft over the western US.  Chances are high for PWAT values of
over 2 inches, which is indicative of a very moist airmass. This
should allow for another round of scattered showers with heavy rain
at times and could lead to localized flooding. Overall rainfall
amounts from yesterday ranged between a quarter inch to just under
an inch, despite some good downpours at times. Showers look to be
fairly progressive again with the highest coverage this afternoon,
before diminishing overnight. Like the past couple of days, high
temperatures will be held below normal for this time of year due to
extensive cloud cover and rain chances.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 1240 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

The upper-level ridge will begin to gradually shift back westward,
decreasing rain chances for the Holiday weekend and into early
next week. Some scattered diurnal showers and isolated storms are
possible for the afternoon/evening hours on the 4th, so there may
be some rain lingering around for fireworks on Friday Night. As
we move into the weekend and early next week, expect mostly warmer
and drier conditions with high temperatures returning in the 90s
through Tuesday. By Wednesday, high temperatures will start to
approach the triple digits again across the Big Country through
the end of next week, with continued dry conditions.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1229 AM CDT Thu Jul 3 2025

VFR to MVFR ceilings with rain showers will continue to be the
main concern for the next 24 hours. Ceilings and visibilities
look to go IFR later this morning through this afternoon. However,
low visibilities should be short-lived in the heavier showers that
occur.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     84  73  86  72 /  80  50  60  10
San Angelo  84  71  88  71 /  70  50  50  10
Junction    84  72  87  71 /  70  50  50  10
Brownwood   85  73  86  72 /  60  50  50  10
Sweetwater  84  72  89  72 /  70  50  50  10
Ozona       81  70  86  70 /  60  50  40  10
Brady       83  71  85  71 /  60  50  50  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...SK